September 21, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Not Quite Ready | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Manhattan Project | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Booming Bodhran | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spring Joy | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chop Chop Charlie | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Agrippa | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mexican Lucky | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sky Knight | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Salary Cap | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Weaponized | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fulgencio | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mary Lee and Me | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Always Venezuela | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bargainaire | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jersey Rose | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Haspel | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Unbridled | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | First Goal | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Trev | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Texas Rustler | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deneb | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr French (GB) | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pioneer Pete | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | More Mia | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cantaclaro | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | West of Eden | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Igo Forgreatness | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Colonel Red | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Creaky Cricket | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Get a Room | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Competitive Player | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dreaming of Aca | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Queen Roller | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Working Carol K | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Schmiss | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Yakut | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Famous Fact | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Over Sensual | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Southern Cal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hot and Heavy | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beneficiary | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ambassador Jim | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rumbago | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Too Stormy | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Eddie E | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gray Dude | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blind Ruckus | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Go Gone Gone | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Graydar’s Resolve | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grand Nene | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Wayne Factor | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shacklefords Storm | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Good | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All About Yasom | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Potochon | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Charming Clyde | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cyber Josh | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | McFly | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brilliant Light | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gray Beau | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Global Entry | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Who’s Your Drama | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Erasmo’s Dream | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kikinboy | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Unbridled Holiday | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Without Remorse | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Affluential | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | False Accusation | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Particularity | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Darwish | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Transitive | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Juan and Bina | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fafa | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Powerful Venezuela | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Best Candy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | K C Twostep | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Just Sassy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Zarabanda | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Nailed It | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Princess Zoe | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | All This Jazz | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Pleasant Buffy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Scottish Sky | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady and Me | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shez a Great One | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kwaina | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Puro Blanco | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trini Pleasure | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tropical Runnings | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady of Shady Lane | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Casual Caro | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’s No Joke | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.