September 20, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – William Entenmann Memorial Hurdle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mutasaawy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Belisarius (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gibralfaro (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Wunder (GB) | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Boss Man | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Detroit Blues (GB) | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ice It | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Indian Hawk (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | City Dreamer (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Lonesome Glory H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Optimus Prime (FR) | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zanjabeel (GB) | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Show Court (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Schoodic | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Three Kingdoms (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clarcam (FR) | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Personal Start | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hinterland (FR) | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Carolina | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It’s a Shaw Thing | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brass Ring | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Karabessa | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bizness Beauty | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winter’s Grace | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Her Way | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Freud | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Eden Ridge | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Manifest Destiny | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | With Exultation | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hidden Vow | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mobridge | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Fox Rules | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | High Moon | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Cloontia | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Kenyan | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Peculiar Sensation | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Tiz a Chance | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Might Be | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Take Charge Aubrey | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rachel’s Blue Moon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Purely Lucky | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wegetsdamunnys | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Zinger | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Driven by Speed | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Table for Six | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vortex Road | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Free N Clear | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kreesie | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Potomac | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | American Power | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joopster | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Maquina Gris | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Win With Pride | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shamrocked | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Strong Side | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Abraxan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Harley Q | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Charming Cara | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Awesome Alana | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sadie Lady | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rose of Dublin | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Flat Out Funky | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Forever Changed | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Bid You Adieu | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Blissful Breeze | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Grandpa’s Arianna | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Factoring | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hoponthebusgus | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Shanghai Dreams | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Nocturnal Mission | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Angel Food | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Daria’s Angel | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Souper Echo | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Banty’s Girl | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Naples Legacy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Brattata | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Indy’s Lady | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Data Dependent | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emmy Performance | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quivery | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Supercommittee | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sweet Sting | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bramble Queen | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Track Kathern | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Cosita Mia | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Agreeable | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Flat Out Jayvien | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Step to the Bank | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Theresa’s Boy | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Mesa | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The I Man | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mysterio | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Via Castagna | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Huracan | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pay the Price | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trinni Juice | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.