Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 16, 2018

September 16, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Diamond Gold 0.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Dancing Doll 0.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Princess Fabiana 0.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Maritime Breeze 0.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Anonymously 0.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Peggy’s Cove 0.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Banana Rama 0.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 She Calls It 0.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Dancing Horizon 0.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Muskoka Suzie 0.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 My True Brew 0.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Call Me Mrs. G 0.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Showbiz Lady 0.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Adios Muchacho 0.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Where’s the Gold 0.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Heydon’s Case 0.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Bay of Rum 0.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Davka 0.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Marcus 0.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Rare Appeal 0.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Vice Regent S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Timeskip 0.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Carmenootz 0.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Silent Poet 0.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Royal Laser 0.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Be Vewy Vewy Quiet 0.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Eskiminzin 0.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Silver Sheriff 0.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Polar Light 0.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Examiner 0.00 3 6-1
3 3 Detroit Steel (IRE) 0.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Peacock Kitten 0.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Howzat 0.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Mr. Cheerful 0.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Theregoesjojo 0.00 6.4 12-1
8 7 Papa D 0.00 6.6 13-1
9 8 Studio B 0.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 King of the Court 0.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Count Forest 0.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Dark Ale 0.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Chestermere 0.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 First Victory 0.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Truth Serum 0.00 6 11-1
7 6 Hidden Storm 0.00 6.8 13-1
8 7 Lillz Not Crying 0.00 7.2 14-1
9 8 Twiceaslucky 0.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Natalma S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Not Orbinary 0.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Chicas Amigas (IRE) 0.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Comic Kitten 0.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Eyeinthesky 0.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Chasing the Kitty 0.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Bohemian Queen 0.00 6.1 12-1
7 6 Artilena 0.00 6.6 12-1
8 7 My Gal Betty 0.00 7.2 14-1
9 8 Bold Script 0.00 8.4 16-1
11 9 Pivottina (FR) 0.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Mintd (IRE) 0.00 9.6 18-1
13 11 La Pelosa (IRE) 0.00 10.3 20-1
12 10 Stillwater Cove 0.00 10.7 20-1
14 12 Above All Names 0.00 11.8 22-1
15 13 Souciologist 0.00 11.9 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Veil 0.00 2 4-1
2 2 Super Sarah 0.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Red Explosion 0.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Blurricane 0.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Silver Princess 0.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Gwendoline H 0.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Summer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cerrado 0.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Avie’s Flatter 0.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Muskoka Wonder 0.00 4 8-1
3 3 Fog of War 0.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Moon Swings 0.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Skychief 0.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Wallace 0.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 War of Will 0.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Nashtrick 0.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Dob Dob 0.00 9.3 18-1
11 10 Tricky Magician 0.00 9.4 18-1
12 11 Jungle Warrior 0.00 9.6 18-1
13 12 Federal Law 0.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Classic Daniel 0.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Distinct Passion 0.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Yallhaveaniceday 0.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Golden Exchange 0.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Pick On Me 0.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Rock You 0.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 We Take Checks 0.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Wall Street Wolf 0.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Macho T 0.00 2 4-1
2 2 Rockbarton 0.00 2.9 6-1
3 2 Arnie the King 0.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Fritzie’s Boy 0.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Walkabout Creek 0.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Kaili’s Big Boy 0.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Harper P M 0.00 6 11-1
8 7 Silent Emissary 0.00 7.7 15-1
9 8 Gasconade 0.00 8.1 15-1
10 9 Atlantic Crossing 0.00 8.9 17-1
11 10 Letthebighossroll 0.00 9.3 18-1
12 12 Legal Gump 0.00 10.6 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.