September 16, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Berliner | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Storm Net | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sir Brahms | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Silver Romeo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Aire Bueno (CHI) | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gorse | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Gadget Man | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Top Prospect | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Hard Drive | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Done Acting | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miss Philly Dilly | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indigo Queen | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Waiting for a Star | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nightlife | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Enjay’s Brass | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tuffy’s Way | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Still Processing | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Olive Kat | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Great Country | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glengar | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bobs Your Uncle | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Streak | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Relentless Lion | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wiliam H | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Whateverybodywants | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Douglas Road | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Papal Law | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dream Doctor | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Decisive Triumph | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Conquest See Ya | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Super Dude | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Grecian Prince | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Zinger | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Clubman | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Daniella | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Congrats Graduate | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tex Mee a Kiss | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cape Laa Di Da | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hold That Kiss | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Mitzi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 5 | Beyond Forever | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Mixways | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Neetee Rides Again | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Vinny Gorgeous | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Pensy Moll | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | King of the Jungle | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Junction | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mid Ocean | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mountain Cry | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mischievous Dan | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slide by You | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brother Slick Nick | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Totally Unexpected | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Be Back | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cent Comm | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Legal Precedent | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Man of Wiregrass | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Cry | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flankenstein | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chief Tarhe | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lovely Sunset | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Moon Chant | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Liberale (FR) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bridgewater | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eighty Six Mets | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dancingwithpaynter | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah’s Treasure | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Holiday Hopes | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Words of a Feather | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Pink Cashmere | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carolina Ice | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Bunker | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Paddington Express | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Twocubanbrothersu | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | John Jones | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bonus Points | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chief of Staff | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glory Stars | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Zulu | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | No Trespassing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Isotope | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pearl Gem | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Head for the Shore | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Angelinthemorning | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Tina | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jokers Tothe Right | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honest Ginger | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miss Craigie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | To Be Honest | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sharon’s Thunder | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pardontori’sfrench | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Perfect Party Girl | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Given Achance | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marvelous Martha | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wiggle Room | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cherokee Fire | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Lassie | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Say Yes to Me | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.