September 16, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Berliner 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Storm Net 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sir Brahms 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Silver Romeo 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Aire Bueno (CHI) 1.60 SCRATCH
1 1 Gorse 3.50 2.6 5-1
9 4 Gadget Man 5.00 2.9 6-1
5 2 Top Prospect 12.00 2.9 6-1
10 5 Hard Drive 30.00 4.2 8-1
6 3 Done Acting 15.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Miss Philly Dilly 1.60 2.1 4-1
2 2 Indigo Queen 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Waiting for a Star 3.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Nightlife 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Enjay’s Brass 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Tuffy’s Way 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Still Processing 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Olive Kat 12.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Great Country 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Glengar 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Bobs Your Uncle 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Bourbon Streak 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Relentless Lion 5.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Wiliam H 12.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Whateverybodywants 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Douglas Road 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Papal Law 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Dream Doctor 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Decisive Triumph 8.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Conquest See Ya 4.00 2.2 4-1
10 5 Super Dude 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 2 Grecian Prince 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 3 Zinger 10.00 3.9 7-1
9 4 Clubman 6.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Daniella 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Congrats Graduate 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tex Mee a Kiss 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Cape Laa Di Da 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Hold That Kiss 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Aunt Mitzi 12.00 SCRATCH
11 5 Beyond Forever 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 1 Mixways 4.50 3 6-1
8 4 Neetee Rides Again 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 3 Vinny Gorgeous 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 2 Pensy Moll 30.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 King of the Jungle 1.40 2.5 5-1
1 1 Junction 2.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Mid Ocean 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Mountain Cry 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Mischievous Dan 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Slide by You 30.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Brother Slick Nick 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Totally Unexpected 5.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Be Back 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 3 Cent Comm 4.50 3.6 7-1
5 4 Legal Precedent 6.00 4 8-1
8 7 Man of Wiregrass 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Midnight Cry 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Flankenstein 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Chief Tarhe 12.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lovely Sunset 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Moon Chant 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Liberale (FR) 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bridgewater 1.60 2 4-1
3 3 Eighty Six Mets 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Dancingwithpaynter 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Sarah’s Treasure 3.00 3.8 7-1
11 8 Holiday Hopes 12.00 5.3 10-1
12 9 Words of a Feather 6.00 6 11-1
9 6 Pink Cashmere 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Carolina Ice 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 7 Bunker 15.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Paddington Express 50.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Twocubanbrothersu 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 John Jones 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Bonus Points 1.80 3.5 7-1
1 1 Chief of Staff 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Glory Stars 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Papa Zulu 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 No Trespassing 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Isotope 1.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Pearl Gem 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Head for the Shore 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Angelinthemorning 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Take Charge Tina 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Jokers Tothe Right 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Honest Ginger 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Miss Craigie 12.00 SCRATCH
11 10 To Be Honest 3.00 2.4 4-1
9 8 Sharon’s Thunder 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Pardontori’sfrench 15.00 5 9-1
7 6 Perfect Party Girl 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Given Achance 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Marvelous Martha 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 Wiggle Room 8.00 6 11-1
5 5 Cherokee Fire 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Grand Lassie 20.00 6.1 12-1
10 9 Say Yes to Me 20.00 8.8 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.