September 16, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Class Won | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tale of Mist | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Cat Warrior | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Comeoncomeoncat | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Belleville Spring | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pirate’s Treasure | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | It Justhitthe Wire | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Mischief | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Canteen | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Italic | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marina View | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jasminesque | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ballet Slippers | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | San Elijo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Own Agenda | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wine Not | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Transistor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Dr. Edgar | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Morrison | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Fast Boat | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Unlockthepotential | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | High Promise | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Zing Zang | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11A | 7 | Via Egnatia | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Funny Guy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cozzy’s Posse | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Stop Me If You Can | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Beachside | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Grin | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Early Retirement | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Qian B C | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wisecrack | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiger Man | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bydawnsearlylight | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kosciuszko | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Center City | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bobby Man | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Magical Tale | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | H Man | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wushu Warrior | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nolinski | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Proletariat | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Love Jaxson | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Formal Start | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Heist | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13A | 13 | Huracan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tiraboschi | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Garsoon | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Trick | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Victor Lounge (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | A I Initiative | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Novus | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Electro | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Call the Cat | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Union Wise | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shiloh Lane | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ajwibah | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9A | 8 | Tom’s Music | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Everado | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Roman Approval | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Doyouknowsomething | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bad Student | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Astounding | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Macagone | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Driven by Thunder | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sycamore Lane | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Monster Bea | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Ramsey | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Bond | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | County Court | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shamcat | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Boy Tate | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Timber | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Celtic Chaos | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eight Town | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caledonian | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Ninja Boys | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Magnetron | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | La Manche | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Spa Jazz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Massena | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run for Boston | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lemon Blitz | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Millies Party Boy | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Riendo | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sir Frost | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Platinum Nugget | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golconda | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Train in Vain | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blessed Honour | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Decadence | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.