September 15, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Sky Magician |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grand River |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hall Pass |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Quality Matters |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Snidely |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Total Bien |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Seven On the Rocks |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Top Hat Ragtop |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Make Munny Moves |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
To Be Or Not to Be |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Stratosphera |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Baltimore Babe |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Giggle Byte |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Reconsider It |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Charlie’s Lulu |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
6 |
Pass a Mento |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Simonela |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
5 |
Princess Rosie |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Tilaka |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Happy Lantern |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
12 |
7 |
Sipping Champagne |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Out of the Way |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Sugar Shack |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Free Kitty |
1.60 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Malibu Surprise |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Acting Chipper |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lady Breanna |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Love Me Forever |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Matador |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mythos |
2.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bungalow |
1.60 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gotham News |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Qualify |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cause He’s Western |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Lill Mave |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Love to Share |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
6A |
6 |
Running Tide |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Lear Avia |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
7 |
Artiful Move |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
5 |
Janelle Dreams |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Streets On Fire |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lemon Avocado |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
12A |
8 |
Scip It All |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Lost Scroll |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
4 |
Andthentheresthat |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
6 |
Agitate |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Rye Patch |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14B |
14 |
Silver Dagger |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
1 |
Whateverybodywants |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Intrepid Citizen |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
He’s One Wild Dude |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Captain Dixie |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
No Knock Raid |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Brickyard Kitten |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Charlie Mops |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6A |
2 |
Spirit Grabber |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
11 |
5 |
Gold Man |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
1 |
Double Whammy |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7B |
3 |
Worth His Salt |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
4 |
Whiskey Seven |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Martywiththeparty |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Key Mono |
1.60 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hurler |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Icelake |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Drive At Nite |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
It’s a Plane |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Carysfort Reef |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Summer Frock |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Racinginthestreet |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Northern Eclipse |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Sweet Yare N Dira |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Billyscrystalball |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
Elusive Joni |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
5 |
Keep Your Distance |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Lady by Choice |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Fashion Break |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
11 |
6 |
Kentucky Lady |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Nth Degree |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Love’s Legend |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Untaken |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Setubal |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Unlucky Hillary |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Emma’sdiamonddiva |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Justa Scoch |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Claravoyant |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rockin Ruth |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Love N Kimestry |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pekin |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dove Dynasty |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Creepy the Crab |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Scoop N Nailz |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Where’s the Ben’s |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tarahumar |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kaz Country |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Rapunzels Cat |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Stay On Point |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Smart Two a T |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Army Grey |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Wilko’s Goldeneye |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
A Lotta Wine |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
My Pal Jerry |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
5 |
Runabout |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
3 |
Big Bad Ben |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
9 |
Federal Walk |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Valadier |
1.40 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Worktab |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jericho Marsh |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Smarter Than Us |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bindlor |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Im the Game |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wise Story |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Eighty Bucks |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Buster’s Brother |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.