Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 15, 2018

September 15, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Etruscan 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Swivel 1.80 2.6 5-1
2 2 Its All Relevant 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Sparty Boy 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Orpheus (ARG) 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Cody’s Notes 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Pakhet 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Multi Strategy 3.50 3.2 6-1
9 9 Heroic Activist 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Jasminum 8.00 5.6 10-1
5 5 Elite Mom 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Take Ten 10.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Whyisshesoolucky 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Hand Rail 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Here Comes Jackie 20.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 I’llhandalthecash 15.00 8.2 15-1
11 11 Entrez Encore 20.00 8.2 16-1
12 12 Keeneasabean 20.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Harley Q 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Caralicious 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Posse’s Number 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Freddymo Factor 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Plink Freud 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Itsakeyper 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Eighty Seven North 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Trumpit 8.00 SCRATCH
15 8 Jot 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 3 Mike’s Girl 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 1 Corey Scores 3.50 3.2 6-1
12 5 Aquariva 8.00 4.9 9-1
14 7 Ruvies in Time 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 2 Rare Gift 10.00 5.5 10-1
13 6 Call It a Truce 8.00 6.1 11-1
10 4 Little Big Risk 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Courageous Queen 1.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Malarkey 3.50 3.4 7-1
3 3 Tayler’s the Boss 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Simona 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Solitary Gem 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Cathy Naz 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Eight Minute Ellie 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Rapid Route 20.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Blushing Justine 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Catsoutofthebag 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fierce Scarlett 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Oceans of Love 6.00 3.3 6-1
11 10 Brooke Marie 4.50 4.6 9-1
9 9 Musical Lute 12.00 5 10-1
8 8 Black Dynamite 4.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 On the Town 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Moving Moon (IRE) 8.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Dizzy 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Bramble Bay 20.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Retro Street 30.00 7.4 14-1
12 11 Nymphesa (GER) 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wild Colonial Boy 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Mango M 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 7 Gambler’s Fallacy 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 New Jersey John 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Ides of Arch 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 5 Stormy Highway 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Steelersfanforlife 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Accolade 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 American Ninja 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Palladian Bridge 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Ascot Walk 2.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Curiousncuriouser 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Pink Sands 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Stormy’s Song 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Tiznow’s Smile 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Volodina 10.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Canny 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Arch of Troy 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Grandpa’s Arianna 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Blue Atlas 6.00 SCRATCH
7 3 Enthusiastic Gal 2.50 1.8 3-1
8 4 Cruisewithbrandon 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 B Three 20.00 3 6-1
1 1 Peaches and Spice 30.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Sands Point S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Capla Temptress (IRE) 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Barkaa (FR) 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Colonia (FR) 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Californiagoldrush 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Reversethedecision 5.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Secret Message 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Victorine (FR) 8.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Shadan (FR) 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Held Accountable 4.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Beautiful Buzz 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Our Girl Abby 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Karen’s Gem 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 7 Timeless Beauty 4.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Tee Up 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Reata’s Reward 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Elizabeth Nicole 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 Shanghai Glory 15.00 7 13-1
10 9 Mercurian 20.00 7.5 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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