Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 13, 2018

September 13, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nation U S A 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Bullroarer 2.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Home Power 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 King Ready 4.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Enduring Arch 30.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Yesus Star 3.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Proud Venezuelan 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Trouble in Phoenix 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 What Power 5.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Bingo Kitten 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Big Money Machine 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Giant’s Voice 6.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Creaky Cricket 10.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Vigas 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Fast Fire 12.00 7 13-1
8 8 Escape Velocity 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Forall the Marbles 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Optimistic Shot 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Norma’s Hot Dude 1.40 3.2 6-1
1 1 Shes a Head Turner 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Beautiful Wife 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Devuelta 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Lapulga 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Appealing Lalibela 30.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kintra 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 Curled 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Night Watch 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Charette 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Say Adios 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Olivia’s Dream 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 West Horizen 30.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Steady Rock 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flashproudwild 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dalal 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Return the Favor 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 When It’s Love 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Dramamina 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Juanandora 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Starof Distinction 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Spanish Exchange 10.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Time Will Tell 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Command Peter 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Noble Venezuela 1.80 3.8 7-1
2 2 Hardened 6.00 4 7-1
3 3 Diamond Mint 8.00 4 8-1
6 5 Architectural 4.50 4.5 9-1
9 8 Stone Heart 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 4 Union Grace 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Tempter 20.00 5 9-1
8 7 Wildcat Saint 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sanfilipo 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Dash of Dazzle 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Whoop Ti Do 2.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Jaiden’s Best 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Strong Composition 5.00 5 9-1
8 8 Tiger Blood 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Illustrious Son 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Coal Miners Son 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Miss Contessa 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Untrue 2.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Babie Monster 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Solfatara 4.50 4 8-1
6 6 Amaluna 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Colorincolonel 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Schmiss 12.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Tormenta de Oro 20.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 First Step 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Star Juancho 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 For the Gipper 6.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Gran Malbec 2.00 3 6-1
2 1 Kantharos’ Image 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Striking Heir 10.00 4 8-1
8 7 Harry’s Gone Gray 4.50 4.1 8-1
3 2 Allurstra 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Majestic Secret 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Monday Pirate 12.00 6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.