September 13, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Nation U S A |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bullroarer |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Home Power |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
King Ready |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Enduring Arch |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Yesus Star |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Proud Venezuelan |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Trouble in Phoenix |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
What Power |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bingo Kitten |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Money Machine |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Giant’s Voice |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Creaky Cricket |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Vigas |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fast Fire |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Escape Velocity |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Forall the Marbles |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Optimistic Shot |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Norma’s Hot Dude |
1.40 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shes a Head Turner |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Beautiful Wife |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Devuelta |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lapulga |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Appealing Lalibela |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Kintra |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Curled |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Night Watch |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Charette |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Say Adios |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Olivia’s Dream |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
West Horizen |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Steady Rock |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Flashproudwild |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Dalal |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Return the Favor |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
When It’s Love |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dramamina |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Juanandora |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Starof Distinction |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Spanish Exchange |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Time Will Tell |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Command Peter |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Noble Venezuela |
1.80 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hardened |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Diamond Mint |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Architectural |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Stone Heart |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Union Grace |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tempter |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Wildcat Saint |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Sanfilipo |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dash of Dazzle |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Whoop Ti Do |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jaiden’s Best |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Strong Composition |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tiger Blood |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Illustrious Son |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Coal Miners Son |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Miss Contessa |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Untrue |
2.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Babie Monster |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Solfatara |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Amaluna |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Colorincolonel |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Schmiss |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tormenta de Oro |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
First Step |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Star Juancho |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
For the Gipper |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Gran Malbec |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Kantharos’ Image |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Striking Heir |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Harry’s Gone Gray |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Allurstra |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Majestic Secret |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Monday Pirate |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.