Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 9, 2018

September 9, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Big Shack 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Blazin Drama 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Zeppelin Ride 1.80 SCRATCH
2 2 Zaptuit 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mischief Night 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Arch Contender 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 3 Red Mist (ARG) 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Brilliant Worth 12.00 3.5 7-1
9 4 Just a Farmer 10.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Perfume Lady 1.60 SCRATCH
2 2 I Cried a Tear 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Betty’s Favorite 1.40 2.6 5-1
1 1 High Math 15.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Bird of Prey 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Anita Lass 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Hello Moon 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Anna May Our Queen 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Stay West 20.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Don’t Tell Vanessa 0.60 2.6 5-1
3 1 Initforthelonghaul 5.00 2.9 6-1
5 3 Lookingforanewspot 4.00 3 6-1
4 2 Congressionalstorm 12.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alliya’s Story 0.80 2.2 4-1
1 1 Jill Madden 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Vested Venture 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Kodiak Katie 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Clarista 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Hola Princess 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mantle 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Loco Lobo 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Freedom Matters 2.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 The Fairlee Boys 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Midnight Honey 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 My Man Pots N Pans 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Hay Boy 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Little Vinnie 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 High Sierra 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Moon Chant 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tearless 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Cruisewithbrandon 15.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Sun of Tara 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Delightful Lana 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 4 Sweet Turn 12.00 4.1 8-1
11 8 Mzima Springs 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Lovely Time 15.00 5.2 10-1
10 7 Miss Al Dila 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 5 Singing Sarah 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 6 Tale of Promise 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cowboy Mz 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mr Atila 1.40 2 4-1
3A 3 Ruby Bleu 2.00 3.3 6-1
5A 4 Graves Island 2.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Will Munnings 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 6 Smooth B 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Tairneach 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 5 Tighten Up 15.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Grandpa Len 15.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Texas Two Step 2.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 No Contingency 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Baby Cat 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Lunar Rover 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 9 Afleet Martini 3.50 4.5 8-1
6 5 Pharaoh’s City 6.00 5 10-1
3 2 Puppy Manners 30.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 Final Ritual 30.00 6.4 12-1
9 8 This Might Be 20.00 6.7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.