September 8, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Lubricus Soror |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9A |
9 |
Sweeping In |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
6A |
6 |
Laska |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Temple Garden |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Money Fromheaven |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Community Watch |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Flatter Me Owen |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Abbo |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
5 |
Folly |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
6 |
River Gal |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Awesome Bill |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Rare Eagle |
1.60 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Goodbyeseeulater |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Rumblin Kyle |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Mid Ocean |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Squashville Road |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Aunt Mitzi |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Daniella |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
8 |
Stillsexyatsixty |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
6 |
Lulu’s On the Move |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
4 |
Beyond Forever |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Gfour |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
2 |
Splendor Gal |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
12 |
10 |
Jumpstartmyheart |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
3 |
Congrats Graduate |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
7 |
Doit for Spite |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
11 |
9 |
You Wish |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
5 |
String Bean |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Sudden Hope |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Oh So Lovely |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4A |
4 |
A Great Time |
1.60 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7A |
6 |
Bring It On Home |
1.60 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Include a Check |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chesapeake Spring |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Margie’s Money |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Go Magician Go |
3.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sweethearted |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Nightmare |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
5 |
Ms. Picadilly |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Hainted |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7A |
7 |
Swirrlie Shirlie |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6A |
6 |
Caterina One |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dixie Do Good |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Heningham |
3.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Empire Panther |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Queens Or Better |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nana’s Shoes |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Found a Princess |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Wheels in Motion |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
American Commander |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Seville Barber |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Culloden |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
All About It |
0.40 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Creative Time |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Unequivocal |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
He’s Not Curly |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Tri Try Colors |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Tracy With a Y |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Kosher Kontract |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
12 |
9 |
Confessor |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
5 |
Offerhecantrefuse |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
8 |
Joey Gotcha |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
14 |
10 |
Tappahannock |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
5 |
4 |
Fast Will |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
John Jones |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Brighton Lane |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stolen Love |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whateverybodywants |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Twin Valor |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Clubman |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Paddington Express |
50.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Stroll Smokin |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Great Adventurer |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
What a Run |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Maryland Pride |
1.40 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
4 |
Cerulean Springs |
1.80 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
6 |
Sonic Boom E Jet |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
5 |
Lion Lord |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tambora |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Quickhatch |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Animalistic |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Cut Time |
1.40 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Our Anthem |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Donna’s Delight |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pensy Moll |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hollywood Preachin |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Seeking the Sunset |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Banjo Bill |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Mr. Discretionary |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Robin Hood |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Daddy’s Cozy |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Tempt Me Twice |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
9 |
Pizmo Time |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
15 |
10 |
Jump Jive an Wail |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crouchelli |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Don’t Poke the Cat |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Birdies Honor |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Mokheef |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Speed Game |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vincent Van Gogo |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tap the Moment |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Runaway Bull |
30.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
To Be Honest |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Majorie Mugs |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Lonely Drifter |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Petticoatsnpistols |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
6 |
La Zoraya |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bourbonstreetlady |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Craigie |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
A Star At Last |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Lilibet |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Summer Fling |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Twiga |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
She’slikethewind |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Glam |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Wining and Dining |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
3 |
Another Broad |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
4 |
Spring Run |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
2 |
Weekend Delight |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sirius Love |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.