September 8, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Adios Amigas | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curleys Gone Gray | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My First Rodeo | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Mel | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spyder Passage | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zoomingprincezydeco | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tm Dees Shine | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dukes First Prize | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Salt in My Corona | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ithinkimflyin | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jls Mr Trouble | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jls Smoke N Go | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tissie Fast Dash | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heza Fast Beau | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Legion | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jess too Be Chief | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mrs Pigeon | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Patriot Tools | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Mid-city S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lightemupwithcharm | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | San Lorenzo Corona | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heza Louisiana Dash | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eye Am Sizzlin | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ldn Jessasaltydog | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heza Bell Perry | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Louisianabluebeauty | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ttt Kas Ima Streaker | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jumpn Toast | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Streakin to Strut | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toast to Breezy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jordans Tater Tot | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sheza Hookin Fantasy | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Km One Fast Fantasy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Corona At a High | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jess Going Grand | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fast Prize Runner | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mps Triple Funnyface | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magical World | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kg Flyin First Class | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hez a Fast Rebel | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pass the Day | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zoomin for Joe | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ram Stoli | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wagon Bandit | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dashingblackrio | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ks Alabama Cartel | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Jess Risen | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | We Gota Jewel | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flyin Tiger | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bye Caliente | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Fisher | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jrs Lucky Fantasy | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kall to Duty | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ttt Monti Dash | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hez Fast Yall | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Lakeview Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | La Mos Corona | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Non Stop Patriot | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jrs Coronas Shadow | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sweet Bru | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Patriots Leaving You | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bjs Magic Wings | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lil Bro Big Streak | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Glens Dashing Snow | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Buzzinga | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Da Pool Do | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – French Quarter S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jess Political | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | La Mos Corona | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Graceful Eagle | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Memphis D Nasty | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tk Zoomaway | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ttt Kas | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hr Chatter Wagon | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Non Stop Patriot | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Zenergetic | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dashing Sashay | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – De Saix S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Parti Wagon | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tdz Louisiana Toast | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Piloto Ovation | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mia Jet In | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jess Run Corona | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cartel Majic | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heza Battmann | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Roster Man | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mps Triple Zazoom | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rollin Bye | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Futurity) – Lqhba Sale Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mr Coahuila | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rl First Dash | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Logans Fast Dasher | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zoom by Me | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amending the Bar | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guidry Pride II | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tan Jet | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tdz Slinkys Fire | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rf Fast Dash N Blue | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tetris B | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brileys Magic | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quentonian | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Openup the Bar | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bayou Vodka | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Adoremycorona | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jessleavethen | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whos Looking Fast | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chops Party | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tm Cuervo | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Easy But Fast | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Five Bar Jewel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Donkey Kong B | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Game Overtime | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Carterslouisianablue | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Heza Bell Perry Jr | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fleur de Osceola | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kk by Pool | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hqh Runaway Dash | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Duke of Stoli | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | That Is Spot On | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.