September 2, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Roxham | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Achainoflove | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glib Marylin | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blu Collar Romance | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Opeongo | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Abogada | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bernardinis Arrow | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Post to Post | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Tango | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soexotic | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Echo Bay | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Place the Blame | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Poem | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Postman Pat | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Luck Charlie | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Point of Order | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Truth Serum | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Major Kelly | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jasper Park | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hardy Candy | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Regiftable | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | La Dolce Uno | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D’s Benefaction | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Potra Liza | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Josephine | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | True Ambition | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | If You Only Knew | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Touch Above | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Straightfromegbert | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sky Mother Earth | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | It’s Grace | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Roansmoke | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Aunt Tillie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | The Bear Factor | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Doll | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Samurai Queen | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Nova | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jolie Bay | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Verradassah | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pottahawk | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Calais Cat | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Amiens | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Durdle Door | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Desdemona | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Vie En Rose | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Me Sweet | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Typically | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Only Essa | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Happycrest | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Teardrop (GB) | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Treasure Finder | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rattlesnake Bite | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wuk Up Queen | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Black Sage | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Arnie the King | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Water Polo | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Legal Gump | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Man | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ben Lomond | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alacritous | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Western Ghost | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Distinct Passion | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cat’s Whisper | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Niigon’s Legacy | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfection Cat | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alice’s War | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pure Purity | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Power Empire (JPN) | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Screenwriter | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dyna’s Mischief | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Ontario Jockey Club S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Run Away | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wyatt’s Town | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hemp Hemp Hurray | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Driven by History | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Thunder | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Vintage Time | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Macho Brew | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Wage Acceleration | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reallylikethisone | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Money Talks | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hampstead Heath | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Bazinga | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sky Marshal | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Chris’ Brew | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mind Magic | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bold Animaux | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rebel Music | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Itstartswithadrink | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.