September 2, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Tropical Cognac |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Fightinirishtabit |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Not Quite Ready |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
German Alberto |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Dig In |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Toupha |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Max’s Causeway |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bad Boy E. J. |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Salary Cap |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sac |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Oh My Warrior |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Juan and Bina |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Transitive |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
All Golden |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
King Wildcat |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blind Ruckus |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ranger’s Coming |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Mr. Spike |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dixie Mambo |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Baby George |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Loose Note |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cape Marco Drive |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
El Emanuel |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Home Power |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Cap de Creus |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crumb Bun |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
R Prerogative |
3.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Regal Rags |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lucky Little Lady |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Say Adios |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shrew Grit |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Star’s Bella Vita |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Snirvana (IRE) |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Athera |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Colonels Daughter |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Sweet Story |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Aquemini |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Saranda |
5.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Onebrethatatime |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blue Whale |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Starship Tribbles |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Star Juancho |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Powerful Venezuela |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Field Trip |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Li’l Meatball |
2.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Liz More Boy |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rupp |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Express Jet |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fuzzy Irish Rascal |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Hitch Hiker |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Anumati |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Full Swing |
1.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Noble Maria |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Miss Unbridled Cat |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Princesa Crystal (GB) |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Indicia |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Lady Vargas |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sweet Blossom |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Hand Me the Cash |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Zarabanda |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Derby Day Darling |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Super Witch |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Unstablenthemornin |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Helen Rose |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fun and Games |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wiggle It Jiggleit |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rethinkme |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Indian Myth |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Il Biondo |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Steel Beach |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Pomme d’Or |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Friend Zone |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Keppel Bay |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Our Boss |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
My Rules |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Son of Greatness |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Nonno Nino |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tiz From Boston |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shidoshi |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Treys Midnite Moon |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Two Step Alpha |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Irish Letters |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Don’t Tap and Tell |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
13 |
13 |
El Chaval |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Threat |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cowtown Spirit |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Italian Smile |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Milbra |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tiuna |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fame Galore |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bellimbusto |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lexi’s Doll |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Linda Nin |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Wasted Tears S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
King’s Ghost |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Lafta |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Inside Out |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Unbridled Courage |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Bitacora |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Swiss Alps |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Lipstick City |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spanish Harlem |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Majestic Angel |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Princess Victoria |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tiffany Case |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
My Cousin Martha |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Prospectively |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Anthony Lass |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Two Diamonds |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Permitted |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bourbon Trace |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Glotonasa |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Order In |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Divine Diva |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Chief Bow No Move |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Perla Preciosa |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Evillicious |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Dixie Legend |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.