September 1, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Heza Runaway Dash | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rl Fun for Jess | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fahgettaboudit | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hez Sizzling | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tk Ms Dashaway | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Corona High | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Living Alaska | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tf I Am Special | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Romantic Hispanic | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Runaway Easy Sir | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Call to Action | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Purdy Moma | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rkm a Perfect Storm | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Black Ice | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zoomin for Alex | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Won Cc | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bababababababad | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Diva | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cr Miss Said Nuff | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Prize Trick | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | One Famous Cajun | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Flash and Dash | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jess Fortune | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Bomb | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dontstopbeleaving | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | D O Double | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Freakin Patriot Dash | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dolls Regal Doc | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Razzatoni | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gunna Be Alright | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jrs Natural Runaway | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eying Louisiana Game | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miraculous Miranda | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Tee Lajolla | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vfgo Max Go | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tg Toy | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brrrrr | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | His Louisiana Dream | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Heza Lil Dashin Snow | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Igottarampage | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bjs Joyful Fantasy | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Do U Boo | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lrh Mojo Rising | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fly Game Fly | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Dashin Perry | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gottakeeplovin | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quick to Flirt | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Esplanade S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fdp Rock Solid | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stone Cold Leader | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classified Bulls Eye | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dlj Imma B Famous | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunset Run | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Famouseagletime | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tee Magica | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ryans Louisiana Cool | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | This Babe Zooms | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mister Nolen | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mary Faye | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eye Sizzle | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jus to Kool | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pieper | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Monees Fast Cash | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bye Bye Agouti | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Private Cafe | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bjs Going Going Gone | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kajun Kowgirl | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess Courage | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mda Say Forst | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mistys Triple Threat | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jt Ima Streakin | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Reno 14 | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lachule Pyc | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Igottagiterdone | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Faubourg St. John S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Look to Monte Cristo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Streak of Music | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Louisiana Dressblues | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Jw Who Dat | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Politics Here | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gbh Fast Wave | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | B and G Fast Dash | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dark Bark | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Whispers of a Win | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wagon Ride | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Prize Baby | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hempen Fast Cash | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Feature N Red | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Piloto the Dominator | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Angel Bar Cartel | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Painted Southern Man | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Gypsey Rose | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Our Mr Td | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chicoli 63 | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bibbity Bobbity Blue | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zathuras Obsession | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Make Mine First | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Opening Fantasy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prissys Blue Ac | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Love This Dash | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Faith First | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Dashing Coors | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tamesis | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.