September 1, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Holy Mosey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dis Smart Cat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ladybug | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Helen’s Tiger | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Navajo Dreamer (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Great Return | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chatty | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beau Square | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sheza Chattykat | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Shelby | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summer’s Indy | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Poetic | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Emmy and I | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Royal Asscher | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Time and Chance | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Kitty | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Duranga | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sly Humor | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Ninja | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mistressofthenight | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Easy Song | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lightning Dove | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War Moccasin | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Causeway Carolyn | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ransomed | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Boom Boom | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Spiral Jetter | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sugary | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Believe Indeed | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Halo Darlin | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Beautiful Becca | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hip Ninety Three | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Del Mar Debutante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brill | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boujie Girl | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mother Mother | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bellafina | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Watch Me Burn | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Striking a Pose | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gum Tree Lane | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Union Station | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Much Better | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aardvark | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Surprise Fashion | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Asano | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lacazette | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 98 | Miraculously | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Travieza | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tonahutu (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Queen Bee to You | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jazaalah | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wind Tartare (FR) | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tell Me More | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ruby Trust | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lori’s Attitude | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sunday Prophet | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Clearly Gone | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Saburai | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Dynamic Duo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Curly’s Waterfront | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Johnny Strong | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quad | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Latitude | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Candyman Garret | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Memorable Election | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raindance Rules | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gryffindor | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Patrick | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Smuggler Union | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ghostly Who | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bright Autism Mind | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 98 | My Heart Awakens | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Secular Nation | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stop the Violence | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Sphinx | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Earl | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Musketier | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Raven Creek | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy Chila | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Italiano | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Risky Proposition | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Extrordinary Jerry | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Zestful | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kneedeepinsnow | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shining Through | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magic On Tap | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Admiral Brown | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gray Magician | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Truck Salesman | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Extra Hope | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seven Oxen | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grand Meister | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – John C. Mabee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Storm the Hill | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cordiality | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cambodia | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sophie P (GB) | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fahan Mura | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vasilika | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Crossing (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Achira | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meal Ticket | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Madame Stripes (ARG) | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Tulip (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cheekaboo | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Vagabond Princess | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Creative Contessa | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giveherdalute | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kindred | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | See That Kat | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tivat | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sandona Girl | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glitznglamour | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond Pleasure | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Magical Gray | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Johansson | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.