August 31, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Copperline | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chiclet’s Dream | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barrel of Destiny | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamers and Me | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | That’s Smart | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | St Edmond’s Girl | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Walk of Fame | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Apartfromthecrowd | 0.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shamsaan | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Playwright | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Single Gem | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Banker’s Island | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Champagne Papi | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fullback Foye | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cookie Crisp | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Caleb the Boss | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 5 | My Mr. Wonderful | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Theresa’s Boy | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | One More Tom | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Global Impact | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Cross Multiply | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sudden Victory | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Raging Fire | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Ziller | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Freudian Analyst | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rymska (FR) | 1.20 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Stacy | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Impression | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Penjade (FR) | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dynatail | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Store (IRE) | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Egoli | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | It’s a Shaw Thing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Mischief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | China Silk | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Here Comes Jackie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Liza Jambalaya | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Quiet Company | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Leah Angel (GB) | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Grace | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paradise Retained | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stellar Agent | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Trina | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Champagne Bliss | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Altar of Speed | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Senda | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Girl Rocket | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bar None | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scarf It Down | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Halloween Horror | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Divine Interventio | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Kranz | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Manipulated | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Voluntario | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Major League | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thirsty Donnerstag | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smile More | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Birthday | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Say It Softly | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | French Empire | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tipazar | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Vinegar | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Moxie | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baccarat Fashion | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Catoria | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Special Relativity | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wisconsin Night | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Naples Princess | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dancing All Night | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Treasure in Heaven | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Layla | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aunt Babe | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Quick Quick Quick | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Norma’s Charm | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Danyelli | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Lucky Coin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ready for Rye | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Rocket Heat | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Extravagant Kid | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pocket Change | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spring to the Sky | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Rock | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Axtell | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Thunder | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Timeless Beauty | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heaven’s Creation | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Problem Solving | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Claire’s Kitty | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’sakittykat | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | You Promise | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carlisle Belle | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mazmania | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rapid Route | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.