August 31, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Buckstopper Kit | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Point Guard | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honeymoonz Over | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flip the Coin Jan | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samdar | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aquila | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Wild Kingdom | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jack and I | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – I’m Smokin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Silken Prince | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oliver | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Policy | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Listing | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eighty Proof | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Heatwave | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Sal | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bea’s Boy | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 98 | Lord Adare | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | No Treble | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mayan Warrior | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Dude | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harlequin | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Myhotrodlincoln | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Violent Behavior | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mind Trick | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sueno | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Palace Sage | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | You Must Chill | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 98 | Preacher Roe | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Trapalanda | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On the Key | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sense of Glory | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kona Dreams | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harrovian | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bronzino (FR) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | South Americain | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super Echelon | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Baroque | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bernin Sensation | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 98 | Drop the Mic | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Encountress | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Thalia | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nothing But Heat | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oh Pretty Woman | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Radish | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Full Court | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Social Etiquette | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Midnight Crossing | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Into Rissa | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Dashing Debut | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Has Angel Wings | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Here Comes Sugar | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Filthy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 13 | Alystar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Cat Holic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 98 | Derby Royalty | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Daddy’s Mistress | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jellybeankristine | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Missmachupicchu | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cassie Belle | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | She’s a Spy | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Your Way | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sassy Kitty | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiny Tap | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Spicy Curry | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Depende de Ti | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 98 | Our Lucky Break | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 98 | Bold At Night | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Batiquitos | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unusually Stylish | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Operandi | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silky Slew | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Judicial | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Maycee Jo | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twisted Rosie | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swallows Inn Gal | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Lucky Student | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Apples | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | June Two Four | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Spend It | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Starship Chewy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 98 | Beat the Chalk | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hachiman | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aussie Fox | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Rebel | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alfareed | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | California King | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Celturian | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boogie | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Grey | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | When Jesus Walked | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Elevate | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.