August 30, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 3 | Scripted | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 4 | Satin Sheets | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Timely Tradition | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Cats Halo | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | My Won Love | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Unrepented | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Gypsy Jo | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 12 | Argonne | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Frontier Market | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Strategic Outlook | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Carom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Bail Out | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chantry Flats | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Raising the Flag | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Apollo’s Leap | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 13 | Illudere | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | End of Spirits | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Leinster | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mead Hall | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 14 | Rucksack | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Azzedine (FR) | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bramble Queen | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fast Track Kathern | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Radiant Beauty | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Matty’s Magnum | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Naples Legacy | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Romantic Babe | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Theodosia | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Taruca | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | What a Catch | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stoney Bennett | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zombie | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devine Entry | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grandpa Knows Best | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Quietly Quick | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Missbigtimes | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Truly Courageous | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Andretta | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | Lets Dance Some Mo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Youth Gone Wild | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Reconsider It | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Fiveinthemorning | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Paz the Wine | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smart Throb | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Ma Mo | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gotcha Gabin | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bid You Adieu | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ed S Queen | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Frosty Linz | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Nileator | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Neoclassic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sycamore Lane | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hieroglyphics | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Zefiro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Captain Dixie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bow Tie Affair | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Your Only Man | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Aire Bueno (CHI) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hardly a Secret | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Altar Boy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Bad Student | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barhanpour (FR) | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Poshsky | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Orpheus (ARG) | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Bustin Hoffman | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Quick Charge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tapit Tango | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Grammi Dance | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Poppy’s Destiny | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | True Gold | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Boar | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Muy Bien | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prince of New York | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Risp | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honorable Hero | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Riken | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Six Brothers | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Ohmygollymsmolly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | Saratoga Treasure | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hannah’s Smile | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 16 | Tough Old Bird | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 6 | Lulu’s Pom Pom | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Scorpion Bowl | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Merlins Muse | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spa Treatment | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stonefactor | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wantagh Queen | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Citizen Matzo | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Elegant Jem | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baronet | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tiffanys Freud | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Forever Daisy | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Birthday Gift | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – P. G. Johnson S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cassies Dreamer | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Global Exchange | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Guacamole | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Miss Technicality | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mintd (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dogtag | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chocolate Kisses | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Road Tiger | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chasing the Kitty | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | O’Malley | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Varenka | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lem Me Tel Ya | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Tenency | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Light the Posse | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Chasindamoney | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 9 | Ready to Escape | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dark Ops | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Suas | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wild Road | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Legion Storm | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | San Juan Diego | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Triton’s Song | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Bourbon N Rye | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Unsullied | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Santo Antonio | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.