August 29, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Go Get the Basil | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Last Shani | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dark Gemini (IRE) | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dancin in the Rain | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Friday | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean Ready | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Dynaformer | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brooklyn Gerty | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Golden Vale | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twofer | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Salt Pond | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Kapinator | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jordy’s Ready | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flying Pleasantly | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fingerpaint | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saturdays Vapor | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Vinegar | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | No Deal | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anne Dupree | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Bit of Mischief | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sacrifice | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Street Passion | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Currency Chaos | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Paddydunalot | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rachel’s Smokin | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Appreciate | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frederica | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Trustworthy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Sanavi | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Slewacandy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Prognostication | 0.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Financial System | 0.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Special Forces | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Herecomesyourman | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Shortlist | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Sport | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Wet Your Whistle | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | More Mischief | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zip It Jess | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chillinwithfriends | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alreadycelebrating | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mary’s Girl | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s a Lumberjane | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Midnitesalright | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Stone Unturned | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Birds | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Charming Cara | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Sensible Myth | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Louisiana Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 8 | Elegant Jem | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cetara | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 10 | Jazzy Juder | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Animauxselle | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tres Charmant | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shanghai Glory | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shrink | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Offlee Irish | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Lune Lake | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fair Regis | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Move | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Y’all Wicked | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Out of Orbit | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Roxy Girl | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starlite Mission | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mamma White Socks | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lightworker | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She’s Delightful | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spartina Splash | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Summer Bourbon | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Here Comes Tommy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Macho | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aveenu Malcainu | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Samadi Sky | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stretch’s Stone | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Caretaker | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candid Desire | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Horoscope | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sudden Surprise | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ultimateenticement | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – With Anticipation S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Stage Left | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Henley’s Joy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Backtohisroots | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Unionizer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lexitonian | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Yes and Yes | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Joyful Heart | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Somelikeithotbrown | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Swamp Rat | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seanow | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Opry | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gunslinger (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Milardo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Local Edition | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Zelenka | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Perfect Joke | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Santo Antonio | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Pirelli Tower | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High Conviction | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bernardino | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Legacy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Constant Knight | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy Jazz | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Whiskey Run | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dublin Green | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Local Counsel | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Testy Kitten | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Sheik of Araby | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.