August 29, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Madame Geneva | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Vibrance | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lesley’s Song | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ask the Customer | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keeper Ofthe Stars | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mercy Mercy | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giza Goddess | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Farmer | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Avanti Bello | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Kidding | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gentrified | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bay Area | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Above Board | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Party All Night | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Easy Peasy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Pure Resolution | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gee Cee Cee | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Miracle | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Disco Tale | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Curryforthree Bang | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hola Mazuma | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Happier Together | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Willow | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Plan B | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Bennet | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One Perky Marge | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 98 | Satori | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Topgallant | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Schoenhardt | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Arch | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | So Long Sailor | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wise Curlin | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Gray Admiral | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Haylord | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Roaring Fork | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rolls Royce Deal | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zippy Groom | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Romolina | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gracie Belle | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Twitterati | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Daddy’s Mistress | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Flash | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madame Jeanette | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Portal Creek | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Thanks Erik | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zip’s Secret | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rolinga | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Point Received | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La Dolfina | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Here’s the Thing | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kathia | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Lucky Soul | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mithqaal | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rapid Red | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starting Bloc | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot American | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bold Papa | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tartini | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aztec Warrior | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master Singer | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tough It Out | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amazon Cry | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Red King | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kalei | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Generous Portion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 98 | Give Me a Hint | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Dichotomy | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mucho Unusual | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Creative Instinct | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Be Lifted Up | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time for Suzzie | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Swing Thoughts | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 98 | Aussie Fox | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Silver Fury | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 13 | Spirit Mission | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Bitter Ring Home | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Culpable | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indoctrination (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Key to the Nile | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Data Central | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tequila Blanco | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King Caymus | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Sky Logan | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cosa Nostra (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dignitaire | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Super Classic | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.