August 27, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Just Right | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Zinger | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bret’s Legacy | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Woodbury | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greg King of Kool | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pier Forty | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chateau | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Alkhaatam | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Apollo’s Leap | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sargeant Drive | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winter Union | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Tea Time | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roller Rolls On | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Junonia | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Solar Warming | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Mans Land | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Free Kitty | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Supercommittee | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Merger Arbitrage | 1.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Big Mischief | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mambo Dancer | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blame the Gods | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Jackie G | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Lolli | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Tapin Through Life | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Weekend Hideaway | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eye Luv Lulu | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Celtic Chaos | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Giro | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | T Loves a Fight | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Mobridge | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Vincento | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Changewilldoyagood | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Cody’s Notes | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Wicked Freud | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Peculiar Sensation | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Cloontia | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | With Exultation | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Tiz a Chance | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Killybegs Captain | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rubus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Duncastle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Stolen Pistol | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New York Song | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bam Bam Blu | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Shane | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yummy Bear | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pagliacci | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thunder’s Honor | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Currency | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hello Holiday | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Summer Bourbon | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Riff Raff | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sal the Turtle | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love That Jazz | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fleet Irish | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mission Command | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | For Pops | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Belt | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Lou Pal | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Better Talk Now S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Roaming Union | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Strike Power | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rose’s Vision | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ceevee | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Have At It | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Combatant | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Corot | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prioritize | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Territory (IRE) | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Westerland (GB) | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Sassy Agnes | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mary’s Girl | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Corey Scores | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rossby | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Zip It Jess | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Evan’s Nice Now | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Short Pour | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Matzo Bella | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Surge of Pride | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Niko’s Dream | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Diagnose | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Molly’s Party | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tappanzee | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kathy’s Cause | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Margie Cat | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Traci’s Girl | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.