August 26, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Can Go | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Niko Strong | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Fixit | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Can’tweallgetalong | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flatexcel | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hokulea | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Espresso Caliente | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Engineers Report | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Positive Spirit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Varenka | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dovey Lovey | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Black Dynamite | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Speedy Solution | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blahnik | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Rombauer | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trish the Dish | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madding Crowd | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Intuition | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rotate | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Angel | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hidden Facts | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Choate Bridge | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zorzor | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Parauari (FR) | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Acoustic | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alive | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wingman | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tricked Up | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | River of Dreams | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nocturnal Mission | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Elizabeth Nicole | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Curiousncuriouser | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hexameter | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maho Bay | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leah’s Dream | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Criminal Mischief | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Marina View | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Vomba | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Angelia | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Into the South | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Enliven | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Mischief | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carolina Beach | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wheedle | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tres Equis | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Edgar | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Via Egnatia | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harlan’s Hunch | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Bonus | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Three Perfections | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lunaire | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Abatement (GB) | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clutch Cargo | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Peaches and Spice | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cha Cha Heels | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Myhartblongstodady | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jody’s Song | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chestnut Street | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Way Smart | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Jen | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Codrington | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hope’s Roar | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Spring Folly | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seeking the Blue | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Under Suspicion | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Unbridledadventure | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Classic Lady | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Calculated Risker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Souper Tapit | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carlino | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Proven Reserves | 1.20 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Krewe Chief | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret House | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Zulu | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Smart N Fancy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Amapola | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Kirby’s Penny | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Play Unified | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Vertical Oak | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Morticia | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chanteline | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tillie’s Lily | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Girls Know Best | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battle Joined | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Talkin | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Epping Forest | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Faypien | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fire Key | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bowie | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Conquest Tizfire | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Iron Mast | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Last Chant | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Spa Jazz | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Ninja | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Powerstroke | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Manche | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tommy the Cat | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Straitouta Congtin | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Time Expired | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thefinalcrazydude | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Local Edition | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ambition Mission | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.