August 26, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gold Hawk | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Orcus | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laflowmylaxbro | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Cheval | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carnoustie | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Takin the Sloroad | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hurraca | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Glory Train | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | J P’s Gia | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | McKinli’sbabyblues | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fabriana | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peppermint Ice | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gritty Kitty | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Alazan Shiner | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Way | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arrogant | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Montana Kid | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Expect Elprada | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strong Response | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Semper Frey | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reflected | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foo Foo Girl | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rosa Star | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Salsita Roja | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Locash | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mo Justice | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crafty’s Way | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vamp | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rontos Lily | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamofjean E. | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go Baby Run | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wildwood Scat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Straight Up Smarty | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Northern Alliance | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holy Cookie | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devil’s Rose | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tinderella | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Odachi | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fringe | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sing One Song | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Embarrassing | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Itsagimme’s Girl | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Applique | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tannah’blu | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Diamond | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Teach Me Tonight | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chantses | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dorothe Marie | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Proquestor | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maligator | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fifth Ace | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ekaterinoslav | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Skycraft | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Delta Levy | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Handsome Harve | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Dean | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.