August 25, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Puttheglassdown | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greyes Creek | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Bird | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starting Point | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy John | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Union | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucid Dream | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Masterkey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Dynamax Prime | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Jupiter Rising | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Chic N Wilbur | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Way Early | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mango M | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shiraz | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Collective Effort | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ides of Arch | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New Jersey John | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Appealing Briefs | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blame the Thief | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carthon | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Six Sided Bling | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Siggie | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stormy Justin | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tommy T | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Silver Dust | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Souper Catch | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soutache | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cerretalto | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honorable Treasure | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hollywood Star | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fixedincome Larry | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Coast | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Medina Ridge | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cotton House | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Noble Nebraskan | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Gunslinger (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Moon Colony | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Digital Footprint | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Social Paranoia | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salvator Mundi | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rock On Kitten | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skychief | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Americano | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ian Glass | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forty Under | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honey Won’t | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Team Colors | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Classic Covey | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Markitoff | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Knight | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scholar Athlete | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vigilante | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tathqeef | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bird’s Eye View | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr Maybe | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | St. Louie | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Makarios | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – H. Allen Jerkens S. Presented By Runhappy
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Promises Fulfilled | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Firenze Fire | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Engage | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Still Having Fun | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gidu (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seven Trumpets | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Telekinesis | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Givemeaminit | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Funny Duck | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Personal Ensign S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Abel Tasman | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elate | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wow Cat (CHI) | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Farrell | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fuhriously Kissed | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She Takes Heart | 50.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ketel One Ballerina S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Highway Star | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Finley’sluckycharm | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marley’s Freedom | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lewis Bay | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ivy Bell | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Still There | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tequilita | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cairenn | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Union Strike | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Forego S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | City of Light | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Limousine Liberal | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Slew | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C Z Rocket | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whitmore | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warrior’s Club | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Dozing | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heartwood | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Sword Dancer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spring Quality | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sadler’s Joy | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hi Happy (ARG) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Channel Maker | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glorious Empire (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Funtastic | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bigger Picture | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Highland Sky | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Revved Up | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seahenge | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Runhappy Travers S. Presented By Nyra Bets
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Meistermind | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wonder Gadot | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Good Magic | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gronkowski | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bravazo | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tenfold | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mendelssohn | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Catholic Boy | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King Zachary | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vino Rosso | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trigger Warning | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Woodford Reserve Ballston Spa S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Proctor’s Ledge | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Raving Beauty (GER) | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Off Limits (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quidura (GB) | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hawksmoor (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indian Blessing (GB) | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | American Rule | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Local Edition | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Azzedine (FR) | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Victor Lounge (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wisely | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spring On Curlin | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | End of an Era | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Uncle Larry | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bay Hill | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Proximate to Power | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Telecommunication | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A I Initiative | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rough Justice | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Leo | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.