August 25, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Gamelee |
2.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Heza Truckin |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Auto Box |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Truely Leavin You |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dash to Intrigue |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Party With Braxton |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Toast to Logan |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Corazon Dfuego |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Di Maria |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tk Zoomaway |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Perrys Jumpn Beduino |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jrs Sheza Lucky Girl |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gone Swingin |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Three R Zoomin |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cowboyz Hotrod |
1.80 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Yo Winner |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Skirt Chaser |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dashing Miss Jess |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Geaux Caliente |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mountain Dreams |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Big Boy Agouti |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zoomins Jewel |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mr Desert Streak |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Game Own |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Royals Init for Love |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rakin in the Jax |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Agoutis Snowplow |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dwaynes First Perry |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Lady Corona Lee |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ms Blue Slew |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blue Haze |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cocos Corona |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Katie Mae |
3.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jrs Shez Lucky Stoli |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kas Im Cisees Girl |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ttt Lucero Blanco |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shez Somekinda Fast |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cash My Stone |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Justa Runaway Dash |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Special Triple Vodka |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fast Flying Fish |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kullyns Chrome |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tee Will |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dancing With Sixes |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Almighty Strawfly |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Pilotos Toy |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Waylons Stormy Wagon |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Shake Em Mudo |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Tf High Flyin Dash |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Foxtrot Oscar |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mightey Mouse |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rf Heza Fast Cookie |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rf Sey What |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kashs Bar Habits |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ms Curiosity |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Oh Shez Awesome |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Eyesa Pilot |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Captain Sexy |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Logans Bella Rosa |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Carry On Curl |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr Piloto Shiney |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tf a Special Runaway |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Teecosisdashin |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
I Got the Boy |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cc Think Ill Streak |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ragin Patriot |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
One Famous Deoh |
12.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Patriots Cartel |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Little Debbie D |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jess Amazing |
12.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Foose Me Once |
3.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zooming for Stoli |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr Coco Pilota |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Piloto Shiner |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sheza Prima Corona |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gorethas Runaway |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kellies Strong Hope |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Stolin Past |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jet Black Felissa |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jess Mad |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jess Peacefull |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ace Black Patriot |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Louisiana Caliente |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fast Lady Rocks |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
I Have No Secrets |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
First Granite Aside |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sir Runaway Lee |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.