August 25, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hurley | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Honeyfromthesouth | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fighting Mad | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nomizar | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pasito | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Encanta | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broken Up | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yes Yes Yes | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Opportunist | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Westwood’s Wizard | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Popyhowuspelcupcak | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Fought | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Shared Belief S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tatters to Riches | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afleet Ascent | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Bobby | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shivermetimbers | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yulong Warrior | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Loving Moment | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Room to Finish | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Madaket Sunset | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Untouched Elegance | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | K P Pergoliscious (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take a Leap | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chiffon | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gattaia | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Two Timing Lucy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Omerta | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Coco Loco Mama | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pray for Corday | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Amore Gattina | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eskenforadrink | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Veiled Heat | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fantastic Chloe | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | True Martha | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweetener | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Springtime Dance | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Baby Ice | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | As a Rule | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cal Pack Queen | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bob’s Bad Boy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Twentytwentyvision | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Typhoon | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fabozzi | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Terrys Tom Cat | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Green | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winning Road | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Pat O’brien S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ransom the Moon | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Horse Greedy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Roy H | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | St. Joe Bay | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Catalina Cruiser | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Battle of Midway | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Threefiveindia | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vorticity | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | What’sontheagenda | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Eskimo Roses | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Placido | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Regal Born | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Angelo | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lauren’s Ladd | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Facts Matter | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cats Blame | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Circus Act | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ride to the Wire | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Heart Awakens | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stylistics United | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Taniko | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Like Rhett | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kona Coast | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pappou | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourque | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | We Go Now | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Plum Dandy | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shirl’s Ready | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Premium Forest | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sellwood | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noivo (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Henry County | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pointed | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Breakers Isle | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blitzkrieg | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cupid’s Claws | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paladar | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Magic | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cold Brew Kid | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.