August 24, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | What’s Bruin | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | One Upper | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | London Hotel | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’teatmycookies | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | D D’s Lute | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Take Charge Gal | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solarium | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Waze Ready | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Okinawa | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swirling | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Snow Cloud (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Painting Corners | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spin Me a Kiss | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kentan Road | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Time for Ebby | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shanghai Tariff | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Romano | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Morning | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Blame Joe | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kershaw | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Captivate | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caray | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pocket Personality | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Goodwillambassador | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gotnoquit | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luker | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kopitar | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buck Duane | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Turnaround | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome E K | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | June Sixth | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Duke of Fallbrook | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Poise to Strike | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | What’sontheagenda | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Buckys Pick | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Forest Chatter | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Man Chuckles | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Salient | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Puriano | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Incensed | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Castle | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hitters Park | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Independence | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vallestina | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love a Honeybadger | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Late ‘n Left | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jest a Princess | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spiced Perfection | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Danuska’s My Girl | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tyfosha | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Family Girl | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smiling Tigress | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Tranquility Lake S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Way to Versailles | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Munny Spunt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mended | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shenandoah Queen | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Turkish Tabby | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vale Dori (ARG) | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizway That Way | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Himmah (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Victoria’sprospect | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Grecian Fort | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Temple Princess | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Turing Machine | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sudden Light | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Venue | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chalky (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roses and Candy | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Into Glamour | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trophy Bridle | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Heaven Escape | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Midnight Affair | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.