August 24, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trusty Truman | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pleasant Street | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sacramento Q | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wave On Wave | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lt Dan Attack | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Willow Ridge | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Two Nephews | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lee’s Luck | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yes I See | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Full Heart | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cairn | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iker | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greenhorn | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Memory Bank | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Christian C | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zulu Alpha | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cammack | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harmac | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cartoon | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | D J Mac | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pleasant Moon | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Than A. P. | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sayin Grace | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kid Lemuel | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patch’s Lugh | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Fast | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aktabantay (GB) | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rio Seco | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Purely Boy | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Switheral | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | River Cactus | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hussar | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Roar of the Lion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Miracle Mountain | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Franklin County | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Travel West | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Croce d’Oro | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Volgograd | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Funny Questions | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Thulean | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Power Walker | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Proud | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ghaaleb’s Winner | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Monday Pirate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Singingintheheat | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Blue Note | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bajan Rhythm | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kissthatbabygoodby | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iter | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gray Mensch | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Commish | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grey Mask | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blue Wings | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Legendary Vision | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mind Trappe | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Desani’s Chance | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | L T’s Best Design | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | My Man Jax | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crown Regent | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mummy Troll | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Here Comes Kyle | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Orange | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Star Kid | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Portico | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Joe | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Big Al | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Straight Shooter | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cheadle | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.