August 18, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Solar Warming | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | A I Initiative | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shiloh Lane | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | End of an Era | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Florentine Kitten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Shiny Copper Penny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Letterman | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11A | 11 | Bay Hill | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Telecommunication | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Azzedine (FR) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 5 | Ding Dong Ditch | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 1 | Valycove | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 16A | 6 | Electro | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Arch of the Diver | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | Causeur | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 4 | Blasphemy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11A | 11 | Rock On Kitten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Southern Bridge | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Perceived | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Noble Nebraskan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Gunslinger (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Medina Ridge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ian Glass | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | Speedy Solution | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 6 | Standard Deviation | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 5 | Goose Drank Wine | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | My America | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Malthael | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Honey Won’t | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Vineyard Sound | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Forge | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J S Bach | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Helooksthepart | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nigel’s Destiny | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Ballantine | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy D T | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fundy’s Tide | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | He’s the Souperwon | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ahead of Plan | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Borracho | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Larceny | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Principled | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Endorsed | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cromwell Avenue | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pointer View | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | High Sheriff | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Glory | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Our Girl Abby | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Richie’slilwildcat | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gypsy Janie | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tee Up | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shape Shifter | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Simona | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elizabeth Nicole | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fed Fever | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Wild Medagliad’oro | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | U R Not So Bad | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Most Mischief | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Firery Tale | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Quick Entry | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Code of Honor | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kentucky Wildcat | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Claytnthelionheart | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pantherus Leo | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Way Smart | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 8 | Under Suspicion | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Seeking the Blue | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cha Cha Heels | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | Pauseforthecause | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tiz a Kitten | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Havana Affair | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Zenbennie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Cat | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Lovely La La | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Cartwheel | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 6 | Beach Princess | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Courageous Change | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Birthday Gift | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Lake Placid S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rushing Fall | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Significant Form | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thewayiam (FR) | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capla Temptress (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daddy Is a Legend | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Noni Go | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Andina Del Sur | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Alabama S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Talk Veuve to Me | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Bisou | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eskimo Kisses | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Julie | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coach Rocks | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Figarella’s Queen | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Piedi Bianchi | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Auspicious Babe | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sycamore Lane | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Italian Charm | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Reflected Star | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dancetrack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Poshsky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Expected Ruler | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Nileator | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Neoclassic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Aire Bueno (CHI) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 6 | Driven by Thunder | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 16 | 7 | Brimstone | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Altar Boy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | California Swing | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Bitumen | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 1 | King of New York | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Indebted | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.