August 18, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shebe Leaving You | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Racie Rebecca | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seemenowcatchmelater | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pilotos Fast Dash | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Racing Kane | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Dreamer | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wh Louisianablues | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Eyed Cartel | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mp Cheerful Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Eysa Candy Tree | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Volcom Royalty | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Run Ocean Run | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Rebas All In | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shiney Magic Cash | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nobody Ta Blame | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mswandas Dashingfast | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Down Tigers | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tf High Kick Runaway | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Paintmeinvisible | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gonzo Compadre | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Executive Teller | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mistys Triple Threat | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | See Me Streakin Bye | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dash N Gray Rose | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ozil | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Private Cafe | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bon Bons Heart | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lachule Pyc | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Gentilly Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rdd Lajollanfastdash | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Bjs Magic Wings | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Bro Big Streak | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dm La Jolla | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jrs Taylors Runnaway | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast N Famous Eagle | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kissin Fire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Amaiahs Rain Storm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Black and Blue Jet | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Sir Flash and Dash | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Sheza Bag of Fun | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Iced Down Coronas | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Kajun Kowgirl | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Courts Dilemma | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | My Frankie Boy | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hannas Crazygirl | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Parti Wagon | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tf Seperatin | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Sizzlin Feature | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Your Fishin Wagon | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valeroso | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tx Cartel | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Conquer | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gettin On It | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Quickdoll | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Patriots Leaving You | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nanas Leaving You | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mayor Stoli | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jrs Natural Runaway | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Straw Bux | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miraculous Miranda | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Pocket Rocket | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Buzzinga | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Da Pool Do | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ima Gone Reba | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Chanel Perry | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bureaucracy B | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Heza Jess Cuervo | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paint Your Jewels | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mary Faye | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Eye Wanna Go Fast | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Miss Runaway Mallard | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Toy Guns | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Southern Prize | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Audubon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | La Mos Corona | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fastdashing Lassie | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess Political | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Non Stop Patriot | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tf Ms Perrys Runaway | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rf Shez Leaving You | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Geaux Blue | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy T | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jess a Corona Baby | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Leaving You | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fleur de Osceola | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tf Rebs Lil Runaway | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Louisiana Fast Eye | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Ajs Corona Chick | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Yo Bo | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jetsetting Cartel | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Hemps Dashin Lajolla | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Miss Lillys Dream | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ajs Fast Fortune | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sha | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tf Iopening Runaway | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Angelas Princess | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Heza Fast Talker | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | La Mos Azul | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Zee Three | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Spit in My Corona | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Tf Dashin and Flyin | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Game of Rogues | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Jess Perry Fast | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Runaway Angie | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.