August 18, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | True Validity | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devils Dance | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Enaya Alrabb | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cherished | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Splashy Kisses | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madame Vestal | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | After the Rose | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Best Two Minutes | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Eighty Three | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lucky Staxx | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Reign On (GB) | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tough But Nice | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Excitations | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Elwood J | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tavasco Road | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spokane Eagle | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bright Autism Mind | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Downside Up | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Roaring Fork | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Son of a Royal | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Gray Admiral | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Sir Valentine | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Awesome Heights | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Haylord | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Johnny Strong | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Kinematico | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Latitude | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Wheresthemoneyjack | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Johann’s Command | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Two Hail Marys | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Afleet Ascent | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sonic Boom | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Perfectly Majestic | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Eckersley | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Well Developed | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Arms Runner | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Secretary At War | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kencumin (FR) | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Forever Juanito | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Saltini | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Accountability | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Bird Is the Word | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tule Fog | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Bad Gary | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Red Envelope | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Palermo Style | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cayate | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Satrapa | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Air Jockey | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jefferson Davis | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | True Regards | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diversionist | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leroy Pegasus | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Del Mar H. Presented By The Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ritzy A. P. | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Itsinthepost (FR) | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ashleyluvssugar | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kenjisstorm | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Fashion Business (GB) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flamboyant (FR) | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Colonist | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Multiplier | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cashman (FR) | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unapologetic | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whoop Whoop (NZ) | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ya Gotta Wanna | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gato Del Oro | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Scotty | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stone Hands | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Denman’s Call | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Vargas | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Adens Dream | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jan’s Reserve | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taman Guard | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Del Mar Oaks Presented By The Jockey Club
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ollie’s Candy | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fatale Bere (FR) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paved | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Colonia (FR) | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ms Bad Behavior | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Animosity | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Californiagoldrush | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Streetwithnoname | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Movie Moment | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Peintour | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | So Hi Society (IRE) | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fool’s Paradise | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grand Meister | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mind Trick | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | You Must Chill | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Dueling | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Game Winner | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Istanbul | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Seven Scents | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | No Treble | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Asano | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Class | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Midnight Swap | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Taos | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – $1 Million Tvg Pacific Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Beach View | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Accelerate | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pavel | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Dorr | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Lieutenant | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roman Rosso (ARG) | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prime Attraction | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Two Thirty Five | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ky. Colonel | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morse Code | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dreams of Valor | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Avalanche | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fritz Johansen | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pioneer Lad | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Any Questions | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Malibu Music | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alsatian | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Comma Sister | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Incredible Luck | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.