August 18, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Romeo | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lielielie | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Satellite | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Andrew the Giant | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J Z’s Last Try | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harmony Enhanced | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lewys Vaporizer | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Special Concoction | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oltre’ Oro | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spectacular Act | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strong Response | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Minute Man | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dashing Derek | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | McHenry | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Greyt Oak | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Castle | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Estragon | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Garey Park | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Slope | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Poddubny | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ferlin Husky | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Checkmate Charlie | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Distorted Ransom | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Savie | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Young Corbett | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gentleman Richie | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Garrison K | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jami Racer | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Hold Queens | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Track Magic | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Time | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Petal Path | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gotta Go Back | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Francis Leal | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sullyvin’s G G | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Drip Brew | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Turbo Shaft | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Je Suis Belle | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Smokin Hot Momma | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Neuqua | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tam | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Broadway Duchess | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Salty Scatt | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s Prize | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Compact Powder | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Appealing Allure | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ben’s Little Cupid | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Silver Skyler | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dreamofjean E. | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Heavens Whisper | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | V J’s Bet | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Evasive Storm | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Market Top | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gianna’s Gift | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Superioritycomplex (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Classy Woman | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Go Baby Run | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Curlin | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Im the Best I Know | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Bombay | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | You Split Tens | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rich Tradition | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Behind Enemy Lines | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Next Monday | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | City Position | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tims Hope | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Drayke’s Channel | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Little Mighty Man | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Temple Zip | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Z U Soon | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.