August 17, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tequila Sunrise | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dearborn | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She Fox | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Blame Judy | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ever So True | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Star Kissed | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sutro | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Journal Entry | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tig Tog (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Resolu | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Again | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Psychedelicat | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Asesino | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Face of Victory | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Son of War | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bear Down Cats | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dynamic Duo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | X S Gold | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Walk in the Park | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rolling Shadow | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lacey’s Rainbow | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Music Babe | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ragazza Di Vola | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonshine Annie | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forthenineteen | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lemon Crush | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | He’s Stylish | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Montmartre | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Sol | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Camby | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Outlaw | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fleetwood | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Getaloadofthis | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Minister’s Glory | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gold N Bold | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Push Through | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | The Hunted | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Cool Your Jets | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jet Set Ruler | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Valiant | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Reckless Gravity | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Ironic Ron | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nevermissesabeat | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Machete | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Achieved | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Captain Buzzkill | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Californiaspecial | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rooms | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Spice | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Apples | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chickatini | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gone to Town | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Copper Fever | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Demigoddess | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Green Flash H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Candy Crew | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pee Wee Reese | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Liberal | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tribalist | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Touching Rainbows | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Right Hand Man | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Rule of King’s | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Richard’s Boy | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Thefourfortyfourth | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Celturian | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Brag Dude | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | California King | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Odyssey Explorer | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Channel Crossing | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Clem Dela Clem | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jump the Tracks | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Desolation Sound | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Acclimate | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vegas Itch | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Game of Roans | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mago Blanco | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unusual Champ | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.