Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 16, 2018

August 16, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dutch Blitz 2.50 SCRATCH
8 7 Flankenstein 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 8 Hot Mic 5.00 3.3 6-1
11 10 Circle of Light 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Whenthedovescry 3.00 4 8-1
10 9 Mr. Louis 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Skippin to Victory 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 4 Cannon’s Roar 6.00 6.5 12-1
7 6 Derecho 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Bolara 15.00 7.4 14-1
6 5 Scrapple 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Willie B Mine 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Furyofthenorsemen 3.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Not a Chance 6.00 2.9 6-1
10 8 Jarvis Steel 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 2 Puturseatbelton 3.50 4 8-1
9 7 Agonistic 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 3 Piper Hill 8.00 5 9-1
2 1 Joseph 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 6 Miners Quest 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 4 Uno Emayo 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cut Time 2.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Donna’s Delight 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Carved 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Brigid’s Cross 4.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 String Bean 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Demelza 8.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Smart Two a T 1.40 2.5 5-1
4 4 Calculated Thinkin 1.60 3.3 6-1
3 3 El Guerrero Azteca 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Dove Dynasty 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Creepy the Crab 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 L’Overture 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Free to Trump 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Trace of Grace 2.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Vente to Go 3.50 SCRATCH
8 6 Quick Witted 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Arraign 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Armoire 1.80 3.5 7-1
4 3 Broken Bridle 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Imply 5.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Indian Paint 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 His Royal Majesty 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Kingston Pike 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Huyana 8.00 SCRATCH
10 7 Benevolent Prince 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 5 Blowin Smoke 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Mr. Bridger 2.50 4.1 8-1
9 6 Amplify 8.00 4.6 9-1
12 9 Accolade 10.00 5.5 10-1
13 10 Rule Yourself 10.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Great Bend 6.00 6.5 12-1
11 8 Thank You Ricketts 15.00 7 13-1
5 4 Seeking the Sunset 10.00 7.2 14-1
14 11 Sadler Bay 12.00 7.3 14-1
4 3 Sugar Train 20.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Whateverybodywants 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dirt in Your Face 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Moonlight Shadow 12.00 SCRATCH
8 5 Degrom 3.50 2.6 5-1
9 6 Brighton Lane 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 4 Hammerin Aamer 2.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Belfour 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Carteret 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Twin Valor 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Timeless Curls 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 Smart Together 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bad Nana 2.50 SCRATCH
2 1 Bellerue 3.00 3.7 7-1
10 7 Proud O’Paddy 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Sophia Is an Angel 3.50 3.9 7-1
8 5 Aquamarina (GB) 10.00 3.9 7-1
9 6 Fed Up Fired Up 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Hot Girl 6.00 5.4 10-1
11 8 Bidding Circle 12.00 5.5 10-1
12 9 Dancingwithpaynter 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 3 Rimanisempreforte 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Devine Entry 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Team Tim 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Corvus 10.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Sir Orinoco 3.00 2.9 6-1
8 5 Perfect Cover 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Graves Island 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 2 Union Blues 3.50 4.2 8-1
9 6 Spirit Grabber 12.00 4.5 8-1
10 7 Homespun Hero 15.00 5.3 10-1
11 8 Hill Shadow 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 3 Clubman 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Lonely Drifter 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Beacon of Light 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Egber 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Mischievous Star 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dorcas Carey 3.00 3 6-1
12 12 Starship Yenta 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Oddseverinurfavor 4.50 4 7-1
10 10 Lemon Avocado 8.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Stratosphera 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Storm Diva 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Calla Luna 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Reiltin Oir 10.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Bet Her Later 30.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Matinee Babe 12.00 8 15-1
1 1 Sweet Walela 30.00 9.8 18-1
7 7 Buddha Kai 50.00 9.8 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.