August 16, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Harryhee | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crocodile Charlie | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Social Roy | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Colormepompom | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Small Fortune | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | African Chief | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coronado Again | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pillango | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pat M’s Image | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Madison Blues | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Patient Digna | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lapantalones Fance | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vinyardnina | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Patient | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Regal Roma | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Gal Lollipop | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | South of France | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Luvy | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy D | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hill Valley | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Zaya | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crumb Bun | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | West Horizen | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Casuarina | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Beautiful Ally | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Luz Estrella | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Optimistic Shot | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Riomar | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Troya | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Devuelta | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grand Tap | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Heiressall | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Umetuka | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stargirl | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bring Joy | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spiteful | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Razzledazzlem | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen of Credit | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Hotty Toddy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Samurai’sfirstlady | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Be Sure Lisa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Blouberg Beach | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cosita Rica | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 9 | Ortiga (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Phenomenal Gem | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Bossyatta | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Miss Sophia’s Star | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Extravagant Baby | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Nile Princess | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Natrona Girl | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peaka Ballerina | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Extra Salsa | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freudee | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Biondetti Song | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tiuna | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Telesa | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Milbra | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Helen Virginia | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bellimbusto | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moonlight Salsa | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winning for Sarah | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clouded Appeal | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nikki’s Cause | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Outrank | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nick’s Rose | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Barbados Kitten | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Elizabeth’s Vow | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prospectively | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vitaemi | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Karenina | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Bridge | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sophie Germain | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Jubilant | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Silver Threads | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nothins Free | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scorched Earth | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sol Dat Sugar | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Noelle | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trappe Me Later | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salsa Rita | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Art Major | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Durlyn | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Itsgottabemyway | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Paso a La Reina | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dalal | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Real Wicked | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jeanieonthebeach | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | New Found Treasure | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Precocious Miss | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret O’Life | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Nina | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spanish Exchange | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paynter Fest | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Sweet Shangai | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cleopatty | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.