August 16, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Leadville | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Takeo Squared | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forestation | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kid Koil | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unusual Rider | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nice Haircut | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ayacara (GB) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fawree | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sequentially | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tidal Effect | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’s Tiz Time | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Impression | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jersey’s Heat | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | John and Montan | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr Classical | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street to Indy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Earnednevergiven | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Momma’s Baby Boy | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Git On Your Pulpit | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bank Walker | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pulpit’s Dirty Red | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Littlebitamedal | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Hot American | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rak City | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Extreme Heat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Souter (GB) | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Worthy Turk | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Greywolf | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gain Ground | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Buckys Pick | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Famous Rock Star | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soul Beam | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taste’s Legend | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Original Intent | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Friend Tony | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Whatyouciswhatuget | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mischievious Lass | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapalita | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Copper Cowgirl | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crackling Bread | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peachy | 5.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trappiza | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Grace Hopper | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Pass | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luv Is All U Need | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Miss Midge | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baby Ice | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | I Adore You | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Moscato Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Zuzanna | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Exactamente | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | If You Like It | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Online Request | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Plastered | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ipray | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ryder’s Starlight | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tenthousandreasons | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bridal Arch | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devil’s Beauty | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Resky Business | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vacaville Special | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Camino Del Paraiso | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cistron | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liam the Charmer | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full of Luck (CHI) | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ann Arbor Eddie | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Giant Payday | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Huerfano | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Law Abidin Citizen | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Cherokee in Me | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dizzy Diva | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Coronado Cool | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Briartic Gal | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Princess Leia | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Honor Maker | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Alpha Pegasus | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jersey Buns | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sought More Pep | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lovely Linda | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ballerina Headline | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Trinitys Turn | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.