August 13, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fixed Point 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Grandmas Favorite 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Showcase Mall 3.50 SCRATCH
6 4 Fooch 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 2 Slick Silver 4.00 3 6-1
5 3 Vettel 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Silver Wings Reven 12.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 1 Blaze Star 5.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Arewehavingfunyet 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Asian’s Way 2.50 2.6 5-1
8 7 Anna Rae 3.00 3 6-1
5 4 Daria’s Angel 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 Conquest So True 4.50 4.9 9-1
3A 2 Paula’s Pistol 5.00 5.5 10-1
4 3 Cats Halo 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Frederica 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Hit a Provisional 1.80 SCRATCH
7 5 Shanghai Dreams 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Grand Banks 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 4 Youth Gone Wild 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 6 Union Patriot 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Sardonyx 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 J C S Star 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Tapizars Secret 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Hawaiian Noises 4.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Seismic Jolt 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Current 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Fog of War 3.50 4.3 8-1
9 8 All About It 8.00 4.5 8-1
8 7 Skychief 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Fayette Warrior 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Hubba Bubba 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Love Point 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Baggins 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tequila Sunday 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 A Song for Sue 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Promise Me Roses 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Lightworker 4.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Party in the Sand 3.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Thirsty Gal 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Long Eyelashes 4.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Very Charming 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5A 5 Overbook 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Tied Up 12.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Lou’s Chardonnay 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 5 Aggregator 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 7 Karen’s Gem 4.00 3.8 7-1
1A 1 Reata’s Reward 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Orchid Party 4.50 4.9 9-1
10 8 Proportionality 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Tiz Priceless 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Mercurian 15.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Take Your Guns 1.40 2 4-1
4 4 Flowers for Lisa 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 You’re to Blame 2.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Secret Passage 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Bonus Points 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Take Charge Aubrey 2.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 My Roxy Girl 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Out of Orbit 4.00 4 8-1
2 2 Starlite Mission 4.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 American Mission 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 She’s Delightful 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Miss Freeze 12.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Changewilldoyagood 6.00 SCRATCH
3A 3 Brimstone 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 The Crocheron Kid 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Hidden Vow 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 With Exultation 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mobridge 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Wicked Freud 6.00 SCRATCH
8A 8 Peculiar Sensation 10.00 SCRATCH
13 5 Cause I’m Alex 3.00 2.5 5-1
9 4 Vincento 3.50 2.5 5-1
14 6 Charming Indy 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Becker’s Galaxy 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 3 Bold Illusion 50.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Extinct Charm 15.00 5.1 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.