August 12, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Zap Daddy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7B | 7 | You’re Killin Me | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Slot | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2B | 2 | Class Won | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Take Notice | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fled | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Make the Rules | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14A | 14 | Riendo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10A | 10 | Local Edition | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Straitouta Congtin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Last Chant | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Looking At U Kid | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | La Manche | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sir Frost | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Time Expired | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 4 | Singapore Trader | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Powerstroke | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 15 | 6 | Magnetron | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Freudian Analyst | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Golconda | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Zelenka | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Malibu High | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Big Guy Ian | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yourdreamsormine | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Data Driven | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Too Fast to Pass | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lex Vegas | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rumble Doll | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Stacy | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Team of Teams | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fire Key | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Browse | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fear No Evil | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Aunt Hattie (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Varenka | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Liora | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Black Dynamite | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Solution | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Toy Moon | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Multi Strategy | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Teletype | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Senda | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Brucia La Terra | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ballet Slippers | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Winandyourin Gin | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kiska | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Apple | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Got It All | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Feedback | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hollywood Glory | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dovey Lovey | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Takecharge Mirella | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Moment | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Broken Border | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gondora (GER) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Sting | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Transaction Tax | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Excellent Sunset (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Remarqued | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Frostie Anne | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stay Fond | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Maximus Beauty | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Belle of the Spa | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Saratoga Special S. Presented By Miller Lite S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sir Truebadour | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stage Left | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tight Ten | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Paul | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meade | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spinoff | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Fastig-tipton Waya S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Santa Monica (GB) | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Homeland Security | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Queen of Connaught (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Summersault | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Mom’s On Strike | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lottie | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tricky Escape | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Savannah Belle | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Structural Deficit | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Trish the Dish | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Madding Crowd | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Miss Rombauer | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rotate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tula | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Girl At War (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Ayers Rock | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Sippican Harbor | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Princesa Carolina | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Dizzy | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.