August 12, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4A 4 Zap Daddy 4.00 SCRATCH
7B 7 You’re Killin Me 2.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Slot 1.60 2.4 5-1
2B 2 Class Won 2.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Take Notice 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Fled 12.00 4.4 8-1
1A 1 Make the Rules 4.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14A 14 Riendo 10.00 SCRATCH
10A 10 Local Edition 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Straitouta Congtin 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Last Chant 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Looking At U Kid 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 La Manche 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sir Frost 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Time Expired 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Joe’s Smokin Gun 3.00 SCRATCH
8 4 Singapore Trader 1.80 2.2 4-1
7 3 Powerstroke 4.00 2.6 5-1
15 6 Magnetron 6.00 3.2 6-1
11 5 Freudian Analyst 30.00 4.6 9-1
5 2 Golconda 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Zelenka 30.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Malibu High 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Big Guy Ian 1.40 2.4 5-1
1 1 Yourdreamsormine 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Data Driven 1.80 3.5 7-1
5 4 Too Fast to Pass 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Lex Vegas 10.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rumble Doll 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Malibu Stacy 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Team of Teams 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Fire Key 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Jc’s Shooting Star 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Browse 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Fear No Evil 6.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Aunt Hattie (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Varenka 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Liora 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Black Dynamite 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Speedy Solution 5.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Toy Moon 6.00 3 6-1
6 4 Multi Strategy 3.50 3 6-1
4 2 Teletype 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 3 Senda 4.00 3.4 6-1
9 5 Brucia La Terra 12.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Ballet Slippers 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Winandyourin Gin 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Kiska 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Lady Apple 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 She’s Got It All 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Feedback 4.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Hollywood Glory 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Dovey Lovey 20.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Takecharge Mirella 12.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Wild Moment 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Broken Border 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Gondora (GER) 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sweet Sting 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Transaction Tax 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Excellent Sunset (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Remarqued 8.00 SCRATCH
5 2 Frostie Anne 1.60 1.9 4-1
2 1 Stay Fond 4.00 3 6-1
6 3 Maximus Beauty 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 4 Belle of the Spa 15.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Saratoga Special S. Presented By Miller Lite S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sir Truebadour 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Stage Left 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Tight Ten 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Call Paul 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Meade 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Spinoff 4.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Fastig-tipton Waya S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Santa Monica (GB) 1.60 SCRATCH
4 4 Homeland Security 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Queen of Connaught (GB) 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Summersault 8.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Mom’s On Strike 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Lottie 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 4 Tricky Escape 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Savannah Belle 20.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Structural Deficit 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Trish the Dish 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Madding Crowd 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Miss Rombauer 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Rotate 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Tula 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Girl At War (IRE) 4.00 2.3 4-1
11 5 Ayers Rock 1.60 3 6-1
9 4 Sippican Harbor 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 2 Princesa Carolina 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 3 Dizzy 15.00 4.4 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.