August 12, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Show Biz Liz 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Venezuelan Spirit 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 C C’s Freedom 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Exclusively Emma 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sunfest 3.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 War Beauty 4.50 2.9 6-1
8 8 Crystal Avalanche 3.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Tropical Gold 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Ashley’s Rose 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Nelo Margarita 15.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 Inca Princess 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Gia Lia Joe 15.00 6.6 13-1
10 10 Stage Review 20.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 J. P. Calling 30.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Emerson’s Queen 20.00 9.3 18-1
5 5 Katie Faloona 30.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Giant Dilemma 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Pure Style 1.20 2.5 5-1
7 7 I’mawreckingball 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Royal Flyer 5.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 El Zeus 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Light Breeze 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Rigo 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Artist 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Players Luck 1.80 2.1 4-1
4 4 Noble Venezuela 2.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Ekhlaas 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Dancin in the Heat 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Mystical Myles 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Sal’s Jet 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Shacklefords Storm 30.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 One Wild Chic 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Olivia’s Dream 3.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Gran Diamond 4.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Abuela’s Love 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Socially Astray 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Nacho Mama 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Tong Shu 30.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Horizon 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Me Gusta Papi 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Razorback Lady 1.80 1.9 4-1
1 1 Helping Lisa D 2.00 3 6-1
6 6 Awesome Mass 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Ms Meshak 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Bristol’s Brooke 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 Blue Whale 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Moonshine Cate 3.50 1.9 4-1
10 10 Inside Trip 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Freckle de Freck 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Katie’s Champ 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Venezuelan Forever 5.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Baby Alidett 6.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Bionsand 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 She’s No Joke 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Hannah Catherine 15.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 Earhart 20.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Dancing Starlet 20.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 My Sweet Lorraine 20.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Courageous Kitty 6.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Hi Hi Holly 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Gran Belleza 4.50 3.9 7-1
8 7 When It’s Love 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Fairfield 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Dramamina 5.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Mary Lee and Me 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Haspel 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Just Call Saul 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Albert Charles 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dizzy Gillespie 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Vigas 4.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Big Money Machine 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Tale of Fancy 8.00 4 7-1
10 10 Parmel Landing 4.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Bridles Holiday 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Fan Base 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Forall the Marbles 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Barefoot Cove 6.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Stock 30.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vow Me Now 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Nairobi 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Cyrus 5.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Logsdon 4.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 King Leo 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Shafiro 6.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Chinomado 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Red One 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Honor This 12.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 King Leonardo 15.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Prospectively 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Pure One 15.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Steelin Magnolias 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Caramel Martini 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 One Direction Song 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Gioielli 4.50 5.5 10-1
12 11 Anabella Queen 10.00 6 11-1
7 6 Big Darling 15.00 6 11-1
8 7 La Defender 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 5 Norma’s Hot Dude 12.00 6.2 12-1
11 10 Sweet Moochie 15.00 6.6 12-1
3 2 Tropicality 15.00 7.2 14-1
10 9 Cowtown Jane 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Sugarloaf Key H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Curlin’s Approval 0.40 1.8 3-1
6 6 Yes I’ll Go 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Estilo Femenino 5.00 4 7-1
2 2 Too Much Tip 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Worth Avenue 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 No Mercy Percy 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Osvaldo 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Look Up 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Unbridled Coyote 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Alperes 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Rocky Strange 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Coniston 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Hard Worker 5.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 Mascarpone 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Two Steps to Toga 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Musgravite 12.00 6 11-1
9 9 El Commendatore 10.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Starship Sparticus 12.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Padre 20.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Captain Bober 20.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Whistle Player 30.00 9.7 18-1
10 10 Alexander Mrs 20.00 10.2 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.