August 12, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Show Biz Liz |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Venezuelan Spirit |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
C C’s Freedom |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Exclusively Emma |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Sunfest |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
War Beauty |
4.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Crystal Avalanche |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Tropical Gold |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ashley’s Rose |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nelo Margarita |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Inca Princess |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gia Lia Joe |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Stage Review |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
J. P. Calling |
30.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Emerson’s Queen |
20.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
5 |
5 |
Katie Faloona |
30.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Giant Dilemma |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pure Style |
1.20 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
I’mawreckingball |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Royal Flyer |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
El Zeus |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Light Breeze |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rigo |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Artist |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Players Luck |
1.80 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Noble Venezuela |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ekhlaas |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dancin in the Heat |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mystical Myles |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sal’s Jet |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shacklefords Storm |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
One Wild Chic |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Olivia’s Dream |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gran Diamond |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Abuela’s Love |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Socially Astray |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nacho Mama |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tong Shu |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Horizon |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Me Gusta Papi |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Razorback Lady |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Helping Lisa D |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Awesome Mass |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ms Meshak |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bristol’s Brooke |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blue Whale |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Moonshine Cate |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Inside Trip |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Freckle de Freck |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Katie’s Champ |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Venezuelan Forever |
5.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Baby Alidett |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bionsand |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
She’s No Joke |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hannah Catherine |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
12 |
12 |
Earhart |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dancing Starlet |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Sweet Lorraine |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Courageous Kitty |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Hi Hi Holly |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gran Belleza |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
When It’s Love |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fairfield |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dramamina |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mary Lee and Me |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Haspel |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Just Call Saul |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Albert Charles |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Dizzy Gillespie |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Vigas |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Big Money Machine |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tale of Fancy |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Parmel Landing |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bridles Holiday |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fan Base |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Forall the Marbles |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Barefoot Cove |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stock |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Vow Me Now |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nairobi |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cyrus |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Logsdon |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
King Leo |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Shafiro |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Chinomado |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Red One |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Honor This |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
King Leonardo |
15.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Prospectively |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Pure One |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Steelin Magnolias |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Caramel Martini |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
One Direction Song |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Gioielli |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
12 |
11 |
Anabella Queen |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
6 |
Big Darling |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
La Defender |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
5 |
Norma’s Hot Dude |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
11 |
10 |
Sweet Moochie |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
3 |
2 |
Tropicality |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
9 |
Cowtown Jane |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Sugarloaf Key H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Curlin’s Approval |
0.40 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Yes I’ll Go |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Estilo Femenino |
5.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Too Much Tip |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Worth Avenue |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
No Mercy Percy |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Osvaldo |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Look Up |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Unbridled Coyote |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Alperes |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Rocky Strange |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coniston |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hard Worker |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mascarpone |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Two Steps to Toga |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Musgravite |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
El Commendatore |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Starship Sparticus |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Padre |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Captain Bober |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whistle Player |
30.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
10 |
10 |
Alexander Mrs |
20.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.