August 12, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jimmy Chila | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True Loyalty | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kazan (IRE) | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Musketier | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zestful | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pepe Tono | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Crown the Kitten | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carville | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dukes Up | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Senator Robert | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Preacher Roe | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Muchos Besos | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Macho Gabacho | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Rancho Bernardo H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moonshine Memories | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Turkish Tabby | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Anonymity | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Yuvetsi | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Skye Diamonds | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Deer Valley | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Coalinga Hills | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Bragging Rights | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Neon Gypsy | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cylinders | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | No Wine Untasted | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sheza Factor | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Creative Spark | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Innyminniemineymoe | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady’s War Dress | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Springs Eternal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | King of Speed | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Biz Nasty | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magnificent McCool | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ready to Forgive | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rijeka (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Daddy Go | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Knight’s Cross | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tikkun Olam | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Easy Keeper | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Smart Rachel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Atrevida | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | We Will Re Joyce | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Empress of Lov | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Myrcella | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Palace Paynter | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Avail | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit of Shanghai | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chiefs Lil Pearl | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Millie Joel | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | My Mandate | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spin Lightning | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Music to My Ears | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gleyber | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Street Image | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aardvark | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gray Magician | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Swap | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runningwscissors | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Absolute Control | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Italiano | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Chosen Vessel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | East Rand | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flip the Coin Jan | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shadow Sphinx | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Upo | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | For Him | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Shane Zain | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmy D | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Again | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Pretty Hussar | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gracie Belle | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Athleisure | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She’s a Dime | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Spicy Curry | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Give Me a Hint | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sky Babe | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Great Salvation | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cat Holic | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.