August 11, 2018 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Baby | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rockin Rudy | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Edge of Ackworth | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cherokee Charlie | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hesabully | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Em | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dreamin My Dream | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tre Lee Divine | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blueskeeper | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runforusrun | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mudd Dobber | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Country Cure | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love My Grammy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Future Abundance | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red White and Loud | 0.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kilwa | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Done Wondering | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Newbow | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rockin Rog | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | York Road | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Valley of the Hide | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Xavier Davey | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cornfed | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scherer Magic | 1.20 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Desanctus | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Naivasha Montana | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Tuna | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Hot Steel | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | About Our Time | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dale the Bug Man | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackie Blu | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mingo Native | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Deuce | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royally Handsome | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stormin’ J. J. | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Torington | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Titan’s Revenge | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I R the Duke | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Painted Canyon | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Munnycantbuymelove | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cha Cha Now Y’all | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Iowa Cradle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Substitution | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Topper T | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Chad | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pepe’ Longstocking | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valla | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kauai | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cactus Rules | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Iowa Breeders’ Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | One Last Empress | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sequence of Events | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mizz Fabulous | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gold Maker | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baby Gotta Go | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tracy Racy | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shimmering Dream | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fire to Rain | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glitzy Lady | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Dan Johnson Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Scrutinizer | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Hilton Magic | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Basic Chance | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Matchlock | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Itsallaboutyou | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rushin Tothe Front | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Iowa Breeders’ Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Back the Blue | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tin Badge | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Artie’s Rumor | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Wind | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sho Poke | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Circuit Rider | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Iowa Sorority S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Run With the Brave | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bye Love Gotta Go | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zofia | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stella Marie | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Olive Oyl | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girls in Charge | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Congrats Cat | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Governor Terry E. Branstad S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | No Holds Barred | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Fine Dream | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aced My Finals | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Matchlock | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wonderful Dancer | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shweet Persuasion | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | High Above | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Domikate | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Molleck | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Donna Reed S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Theperfectvow | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Native Princess | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mywomanfromtokyo | 1.40 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zella Rose | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Sister Madi | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Faye Runaway | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Holdthatlove | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bossy Em | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wait N C Spring | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foxy Fleda | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.