Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 11, 2018

August 11, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Indian School 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Sal’s Jet 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Grand Jr 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Zitman 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Wake Me Up At Noon 2.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Changing Leads 3.50 3.4 7-1
4 4 Cape Dynasty 8.00 4 7-1
12 12 Mason’s Song 4.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Darn That Parker 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Classic Move 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Sebas Ranger 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 On Cruise Control 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Miago 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Southern Cal 15.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Golden Away 20.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Mass Approval 30.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Without Gems 4.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Two Diamonds 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 7 Monja 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Salsa Queen 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Bint Eskendereya 6.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Court Princess 6.00 5 10-1
9 8 Vouvray 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 She’s a Princess 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Tiebaj 20.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cousin Newyork Fay 1.60 2.2 4-1
6 6 Queen of Swag 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Angry Cat 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Oriental Lady 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Indy Contender 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Little Dirty Girl 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Thirstyforamiracle 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mi Cuaima 6.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Feed Me Carats 3.50 2.3 4-1
10 9 Scatnap 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 4 Athera 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Final Flurry 5.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Murray’s Girl 20.00 5.9 11-1
11 10 Prado Vision 12.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Treatherlikestar 8.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Tapa Liath 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 5 Plein Air 15.00 6.7 13-1
12 11 Schmiss 20.00 7.7 15-1
7 6 Super Duper Girl 30.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bull Dozer 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Night Rythm 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Our Sarge 2.50 4 8-1
9 9 Journey’s End 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Brookside 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Cantaclaro 30.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Sound of the Tap 4.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Lunch Break 30.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Potochon 30.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dumaine 30.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Zaya 1.80 1.9 4-1
4 3 Midnight Entree 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 1 Vegas Tycoon 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 2 Union’s Destiny 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Gran Greyfrost 4.50 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Nueces Strip 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Not Quite Ready 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Tropical Cognac 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Toupha 8.00 4 7-1
4 4 Bad Boy E. J. 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Dig In 8.00 4.7 9-1
12 10 Peace Accord 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Grand Journey 3.50 5 9-1
9 8 Mr. Morningstar 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Fulgencio 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 German Alberto 30.00 7.7 14-1
10 9 Sac 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 K K’s Revolver 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Global Hero 2.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 El Chaval 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Elastico 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Hope Is Rising 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Brandt 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Man Upstairs 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Cousin Tino 20.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Bonus Card 20.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Panama City S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Madame Uno 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Unbridled Courage 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Treasure for Gold 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bitacora 3.50 2.5 5-1
10 7 Shanghai Starlet 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 6 Spicy Nelly 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Josdesanimaux 20.00 4.5 8-1
5 4 Starship Bonita 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 5 Pop’s Irish Rose 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Silver Diva 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Oh My Warrior 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Star Juancho 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Soldollie 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Starship Apollo 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 It’s a New Year 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Fog Warning 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Dunk 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Silent Tiger 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mongolian Party 8.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Burton 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Master Rory 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Straightaway May 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Forecasting 4.00 4.8 9-1
11 10 Salty Kinda Dog 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Santiaguero 10.00 6 11-1
9 8 Menehune 15.00 6.1 12-1
12 11 Mr Sheen 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Little Cristian 30.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Joe Cain 12.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Rey Astray 30.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Put the Hat Back 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Charzaam 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Treys Midnite Moon 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Son of Greatness 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Moon Lover 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 False Accusation 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Sanad 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mr. Miserable 10.00 SCRATCH
9 6 Gunship 4.50 2.9 5-1
10 7 Erre Erre 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 5 Nonno Nino 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Aristteles 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 2 Il Biondo 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 4 Wild Force 30.00 6 11-1
11 8 Midnight Joker 20.00 6 11-1
4 3 Candy Max 15.00 6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.