August 10, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cavallotto | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Planet Trailblazer (BRZ) | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taruca | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kenyan | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Best Surprise | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ninetyeighttwo | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quai Voltaire | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mrs Vargas | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kickin Kimberly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Secret Quality | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Miss Loyalty | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Love to Share | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Amazing Audrey | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Appreciate | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Golden Vale | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Red Curls | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Umoveover | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Always On My Mind | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | You Know Too | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luz Mimi | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thirteen Songs | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Treble | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Release | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Single Gem | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Trustworthy | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Malibu Strings | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Long Gray Line | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stronger | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shamsaan | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin At Blessing | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Infield Is In | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mo Wheels Up | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dovey Lovey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Two Shakes | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pakhet | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Foggy Kitten | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fierce Scarlett | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oceans of Love | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Devious Charm | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Global Exchange | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kenai Cool | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dance for Daddy | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Elios Milos | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Zonic | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Formal Start | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Proletariat | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sicilia Mike | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Candy Zip | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leap to Glory | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Altesino | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nyx Warrior | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Sandy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Empressof the Nile | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bengala (FR) | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Violet Blue | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lady Joan | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Manta Gris | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Scripted | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Zenbennie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Theaterintheround | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cause Me Grief | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kat O Mine | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She Doesn’t Mind (FR) | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Image | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Front Row Debbie | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Emerald Quality | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Questeq | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Caitlin’satthebar | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Nanny | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alley to Calvary | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Tale Of The Cat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silver Ride | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Always Sunshine | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Tate | 1.20 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pop the Hood | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Crow | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Tapit Tango | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Yowza Yowza Yowza | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Not That Brady | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Center City | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11A | 11 | Analyzethisandthat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Plebe | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wisecrack | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lost in Manhattan | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Waynes Footsteps | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Veterans Beach | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Floyd Unger | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lumberer | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ro Jo | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Brigade | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bydawnsearlylight | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.