August 10, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | La Candelita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | She’s Coal Fired | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Can She Scoot | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Meetmeforasmoke | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Includere | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Controversy | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Para Vivir | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Avery A. | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Cholla | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ain’t Dat Sweet | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lookin At Vanessa | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lion Love | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paulette | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cassidy Ave | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Roar of the Lion | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Franklin County | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Senor Blanco | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Prairie Rebel | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Suspenders | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Hannity | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Fort Dixie | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Monday Pirate | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Boundaries | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alien Season | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bootleggin | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starstruck Kitten | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hide the Honey | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kyzan | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Macho Alpha | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Clear N Convincing | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Don’task Don’ttell | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Blue Sky Kowboy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Memory Bank | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bold Rally | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Happy Wanderer | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Call the Colonel | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Moon Over Montana | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Crazy Lady | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Superdyne | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Staria Peach | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sonora Way | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Templesis | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Unbridled Atlantic | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dazzling Charmist | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Z U Again | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Have the Facts | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disrespectful | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tomasita | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elusive Aura | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Antrim’s Giant | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Commander | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sacramento Q | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bartbaalu | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alpha Boy | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Party On Dude | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’mjustblowinsmoke | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Harlanday | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | President Elect | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Ghaaleb’s Winner | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | G. C. Crackerjack | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Scarlet City | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | R Fast Life | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Matthew’s Thunder | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Word of Truth | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.