August 8, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kenyan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fillet of Sole | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brockton George | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sumner | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scatoga | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Bayou Bird | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Magical Romance | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Smart Throb | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Promise Me Roses | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Paz the Wine | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fiveinthemorning | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ailish | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reconsider It | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nazay | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Truly Courageous | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Catania Rose | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lulu’s Partner | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Puffin Patty | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lets Dance Some Mo | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seattle Frost | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uconnmarsh | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiffany’s Vision | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Animauxselle | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Beautiful Buzz | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | She’sakittykat | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elizabeth Nicole | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kid Croft | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Impazible Creek | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hoard | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Jailhouse Kitten | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Maimo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Transistor | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Zap Daddy | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Factor This | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Stride | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Killeen | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On Patrol | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Glass Bridge | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Icey Cash | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kadens Courage | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tenminuteswithal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Awesome Adversary | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tiger Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Doups Point | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Somelikeithotbrown | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Early Retirement | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crazy Life | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pier Forty | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dashing Dan | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Impazible Odds | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taptaptap | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Glominator | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady Bergen | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sandy Belle | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Camorra | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Boss | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Held Accountable | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiznow’s Smile | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tres Equis | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mesotherm | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Infield Is In | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Fuel the Bern | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flyoff | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | High Moon | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cape Angel | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Blurred Line | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | La Maquina Gris | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Charnley River (AUS) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Dow | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | New York Hero | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | J J’s Dreaming | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Danny California | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speke | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kerry Boy | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fullback Foye | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Quick Call S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Soutache | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | World of Trouble | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dirty | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shangroyal | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fig Jelly | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stolen Pistol | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Coltandmississippi | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Dunhill | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clouded Judgement | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Different Style | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Totally Boss | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Like What I See | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | New Legend (KOR) | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Giant Boo Boo | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Wild Colonial Boy | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dab | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Ninja | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Theresa’s Boy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Latin Love Bug | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Abominable Snowman | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tamzine | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sudden Victory | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thefinalcrazydude | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Neutral Zone | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Sequence | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.