August 6, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Foolish Ghost | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fullback Foye | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lake Party | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Pirate’s Treasure | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Playwright | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bon Raison | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Over Rider | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Major Attitude | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Banker’s Island | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cookie Crisp | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Save the Sangria | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Beach Access | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Codrington | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Stoney Bennett | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Forward Motion | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Santo Antonio | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 3 | Collective Effort | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Therapist | 0.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Ten Eyck | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Killybegs Captain | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ajnadeen | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devils Halo | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rubus | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hollywood Star | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Home Run Maker | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Great Johanna | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Shanghai Dreams | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Walk of Fame | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Chestnut Street | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Spring Drama | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | My Victoria Rose | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Chiclet’s Dream | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | That’s Smart | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star of the East | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Danielle’s Pride | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Lady Darian | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | March Two Madness | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Forest Blue | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Captain Gaughen | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Sheikh of Sheikhs | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | War Stroll | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Major Force | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Canarsie Kid | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Bow Tie Affair | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Get a Valentine | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mongo Nation | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Royal Asset | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tiz a Chance | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Anytime Anyplace | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Yowza Yowza Yowza | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Internet of Things | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trance | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | London House | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Zinger | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Right | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stop Me If You Can | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Three Outlaws | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Handsome Chewy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bustin to Be Loved | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oh K Funnybone | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smart Together | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Silver Shaker | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Palinodie (FR) | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Galileo’s Melody | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Double Cast | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Osare | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tropical Wave | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Montdore | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Inverness | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | First Appeal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Held Accountable | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Camorra | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sandy Belle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Mentality | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Noble Freud | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | March X Press | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Eloweasel | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Summer Sweet | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Awsum Roar | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Alabama Bound | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Royal Inheritance | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Same Kinda Crazy | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Blue Atlas | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sudden Victory | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Latin Love Bug | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Giant Boo Boo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Abominable Snowman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dab | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Construct | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Merger of Banks | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Pure Quality | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shuffling Madness | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Wheresthebarber | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Global Impact | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mr. Yabo | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Won’t Be Missed | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Clonedsimmard | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Flat Out Jayvien | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Big Horn Ranger | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.