August 5, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aquila | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Upper Room | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Soot | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Topgallant | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aurora d’Oro | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hard Fought | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zippy Groom | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Keeper Ofthe Stars | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bizwhacks | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vegas Strong Baby | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Der Lu | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Courteous | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heathers Grey | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mercy Mercy | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giza Goddess | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – La Jolla H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | River Boyne (IRE) | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Restrainedvengence | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calexman | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arawak | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inscom | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Move Over (GB) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Grandma Gertrude | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Eagle Ease | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Z Z Tiger | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunrise Royale | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Champagne Honey | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dislitleaglecanfly | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gypsy Blu | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Hand | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Eskimo Roses | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Eddie | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rumpus Cat | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bahamian | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Young Hendrick | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boiler Plate | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goldie’s Hills | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnum Maduro | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tyfosha | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spring Lily | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dis Smart Cat | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Conquest Flatterme | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summer’s Indy | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Autumn | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Demigoddess | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dutch Mama | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Song | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bunny Yogurt | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bornonvalentineday | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiny Tina | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drift Away | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tapitha Bonita | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chica La Habana (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cash Cannon | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mongolian Rahy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sorrento S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bellafina | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stirred | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Del Mar May | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reflect | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dragic | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Lucy | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boujie Girl | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dichotomy | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summerland | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Madison’s Quarters | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | The Chadinator | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Spend It | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Grand Minister | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Twisted Road | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Odyssey Explorer | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Supreme Giant | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Masterpiece Day | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Brag Dude | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Working | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catch Fire | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Skagit River | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Johnny Strong | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Severin | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | If I Had a Nickel | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.