August 4, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Aimed | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mbrace Grace | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rings of Jupiter | 0.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunshine Wild | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snowfly | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pumpkin Star | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vocab | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shinkansen | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Gadwall | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kentucky Dancer | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oaks (BRZ) | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Lagrats | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Navajo Kitten | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Henrietta | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zafiro Azul | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Backyard Boogie | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sprawling | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sister Patricia | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J D’s Pride | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Sam | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Loca Sophia | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Offlee Risque | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prosperity Gal | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Conquest Bigluck E | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | General Bellamy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Artistic Drifter | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kendricks | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spring Emperor | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dimension | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clickjab | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rydell | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Master Yank | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belly Dancer | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Printer | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Wentzylvania | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spirit Special | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Colonel Juan | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Missin the Big Dog | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glad Moon (GER) | 1.80 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Indygo Breeze | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frogman Mel | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | San Elijo | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thank You Ricketts | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hodor | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marq One | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hatteras Bound | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Contrarian | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Shemakesmehappy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Lil Miss Hotshot | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Aerial Assets | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saint Main Event | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Autobahn Express | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Egyptian Rose | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Special Included | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Silver Silence | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Orquidea | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sparticle | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Ice | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ark in the Dark | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lazarus Project | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love Is Your Name | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jamminwithbrandon | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cinderela El Crome | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Gemini Man | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | True Boldness | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Drosselmagic | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Southerncommission | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jose L. Flores Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bronx Beauty | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dixie Serenade | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bootsy’s Hadenough | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smokinpaddylassie | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frigid Sister | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Candy Dance | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mary Costa | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nth Degree | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Go Metro Girl | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grazen Honor | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Trousseau | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Star Lo | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Had Enough | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Rose | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kissesrgettnlouder | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mi Gal Fren | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Edfitzatmahle’sbar | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Racey Bike | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.