August 4, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vincent Van Gogo | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arkadag | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seattle Ric | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Troopingthecolor | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lunar Boogie | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Patriot | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dragonthorn Steed | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jeremiah John | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mythos | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Junction | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mid Ocean | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Will | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mischievous Dan | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brother Slick Nick | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Camptown S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Up Hill Battle | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Virginia Fable | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Altamura | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Eclipse | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Says | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Do What I Say | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Well Blessed | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | What the Beep | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – William M. Backer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Armoire | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Caroline | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Sandy | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Complete St. | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paulita | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Well Blessed | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Or Not | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Street Miz | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thatwouldbegrand | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Powell | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hall Pass | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mega Bucks | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seven On the Rocks | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Happy Giant | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gimme Some Truth | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Pretty Clever | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Hansel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Special Envoy | 0.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | River Deep | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speed Gracer | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carbon Data | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jump Ship | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Officer’s Oath | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey Wu | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Meadow Stable S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | River Deep | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fly E Dubai | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Determined Vision | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Two Notch Road | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Available | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Homespun Hero | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lime House Louie | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Braxton | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bad Angle Burke | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Upper Crown | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Bad Ben | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wildly Clever | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Pal Jerry | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Patriotic Quest | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Native Flora | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stella B. | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Emma’sdiamonddiva | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greasedlightning | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mila Jane | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Contessa | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shecor | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | You Wish | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Army Grey | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be Back | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fusion Xchange | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Lotta Wine | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Tapitontheside | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Cry | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crazy Wild Bill | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Voo Dude | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | George Grammas | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.